Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tonglianglong prediction 17 October 2026
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Qingdao West CoastYunnan YukunYunnan YukunChongqing TonglianglongShanghai ShenhuaYunnan YukunYunnan YukunLiaoning Shenyang Urban TierenYunnan YukunChongqing TonglianglongZhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou GreentownYunnan YukunBeijing GuoanYunnan YukunYunnan YukunDalian ZhixingYunnan YukunChengdu RongchengTianjin Jinmen TigerYunnan YukunYunnan YukunShenzhen Peng CityYunnan YukunChengdu RongchengYunnan YukunShanghai SIPG East AsiaShandong Luneng TaishanYunnan YukunYunnan YukunHenan Jianye Songshan LongmenChongqing TonglianglongQingdao HainiuYunnan YukunChongqing TonglianglongChongqing TonglianglongShandong Luneng TaishanChongqing TonglianglongShanghai ShenhuaYunnan YukunChongqing TonglianglongHenan Jianye Songshan LongmenChongqing TonglianglongChongqing TonglianglongDalian ZhixingQingdao West CoastChongqing TonglianglongChongqing TonglianglongShanghai SIPG East AsiaShenzhen Peng CityChongqing TonglianglongWuhan Three TownsChongqing TonglianglongChongqing TonglianglongQingdao West CoastChongqing TonglianglongZhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou GreentownChengdu RongchengChongqing TonglianglongLiaoning Shenyang Urban TierenChongqing Tonglianglong- 34Caio VinรญciusM
- 2Hu RuibaoD
- 8Xu XinM
- 23Wang ZhifengG
- 9ClรฉberF
- 21Yang ZihaoD
- 10A. IoniศฤM
- 33A. BurcฤD
- 39Bunyamin AbdusalamF
- 11O. MarituF
- 3Tsui Wang KitD
- 27Han Zilong
- 30Hou Yongyong
- 5Shi Ke
- 22Duan Liuyu
- 7Ye Chugui
- 1Bao Yaxiong
- 6Zhao Yuhao
- 17Sun Xuelong
- 16Zhang Xiangshuo
- 26Zhang Chenliang
- 36Fei Ernanduo
- 24Yu Jianxian
- 9G. CรฎmpanuM
- 11L. DimataF
- 10I. AmadouM
- 26He XiaoqiangD
- 18Liang WeipengM
- 37Wei SuoweiD
- 7Xiang YuwangM
- 1Yao HaoyangG
- 16Zhang ZhixiongD
- 4Yue RuijieD
- 33LucรฃoD
- 25Yerjet Yerzat
- 6Jin Pengxiang
- 15Chen Chunxin
- 38Ruan Qilong
- 3Zhang Yingkai
- 19Du Yuezheng
- 24Liu Mingshi
- 27Wu Yongqiang
- 17Ng Yu Hei
- 31Wu Zitong
- 21Jiale Liu
- 34'EventClรฉber
- 53'EventLiang Weipeng
- 53'EventHe Xiaoqiang
Yunnan YukunChongqing TonglianglongYunnan YukunChongqing TonglianglongChongqing TonglianglongYunnan YukunYunnan YukunChongqing TonglianglongChongqing TonglianglongYunnan Yukun| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 51:34 | +17 | 52 |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 53:33 | +20 | 49 |
| 3 |  Shandong Luneng Taishan | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 52:44 | +8 | 47 |
| 4 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 62:48 | +14 | 47 |
| 5 |  Dalian Zhixing | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:43 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 |  Shanghai SIPG East Asia | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47:35 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 |  Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:32 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 56:59 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 |  Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 31:37 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 |  Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 |  Shenzhen Peng City | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37:50 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 |  Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 39:48 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 41:50 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 |  Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 34:60 | -26 | 21 |
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong Prediction (Oct 17)
Our Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong prediction for the China Super League match on October 17, 2026, at 12:35 points to a home win, with Yunnan Yukun holding a 55% win probability. The hosts are clear favorites based on odds, recent form, and a dominant head-to-head record.
Team Form
Yunnan Yukun's last five results: L, W, W, L, D. They suffered a heavy 7-1 defeat at Shanghai Shenhua but bounced back with a 5-0 home thrashing of Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren and a 1-0 FA Cup win over Chongqing Tonglianglong. Two away losses (6-0 at Zhejiang Lucheng, 3-3 draw at Beijing Guoan) show inconsistency, yet their home form remains strong.
Chongqing Tonglianglong's form reads D, L, L, D, L. They drew 1-1 at home with Shandong Luneng Taishan and 1-1 away at Henan Jianye, but lost 1-3 to Shanghai Shenhua, 0-1 at Yunnan Yukun in the FA Cup, and 0-1 at home to Dalian Zhixing. No wins in five matches highlights their struggles.
Head-to-Head Record
Yunnan Yukun are unbeaten in four meetings with Chongqing Tonglianglong (1 win, 3 draws). The most recent clash was a 1-0 FA Cup victory for Yunnan on September 2, 2026. Earlier in the 2026 Super League, they drew 0-0 in Chongqing. The two 2023 League Two encounters both ended in draws (0-0 and 1-1).
League Table Positions
Yunnan Yukun sit 7th in the China Super League with 38 points (11W, 5D, 11L), scoring 55 goals and conceding 58. Chongqing Tonglianglong are 12th with 32 points (7W, 11D, 9L), netting 28 and allowing 33. At home, Yunnan are 3rd in the league (8W, 2D, 3L), while Chongqing's away form is not among the top eight, underlining the home advantage.
Win Probability: Yunnan Yukun or Chongqing Tonglianglong?
Yunnan Yukun has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Chongqing Tonglianglong has a 17% chance. This calculation starts from the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.62, draw 2.48, away 4.25) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted upward for Yunnan's superior form, unbeaten H2H record, and strong home table position. The visitors' poor recent results and low away ranking further reduce their probability.
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong Prediction & Odds
Bookmakers see Yunnan Yukun as the favorite: home win odds range from 1.55 to 1.62, the draw is offered between 2.48 and 4.40, and an away win pays 4.20 to 5.10. Based on the stats, a home victory is the most likely match outcome. The odds and form suggest backing Yunnan Yukun to win, with the draw as a secondary consideration for cautious bettors.
Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong โ FAQ
- Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong?
- Yunnan Yukun is the most likely winner with a 55% probability. The draw has a 28% chance, while Chongqing Tonglianglong has only a 17% chance of an away victory.
- What is the win probability for Yunnan Yukun?
- Yunnan Yukun has a 55% win probability. This is based on odds of 1.62, their unbeaten head-to-head record (1 win, 3 draws), stronger recent form, and a 3rd-place home league ranking.
- When is the Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tonglianglong match?
- The match is on October 17, 2026, at 12:35 local time. It is a China Super League fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for a Yunnan Yukun home win are around 1.55โ1.62, the draw is 2.48โ4.40, and a Chongqing Tonglianglong away win is 4.20โ5.10, depending on the bookmaker.
- What is the head-to-head record between Yunnan Yukun and Chongqing Tonglianglong?
- In four meetings, Yunnan Yukun have 1 win and 3 draws, remaining unbeaten. The most recent result was a 1-0 Yunnan victory in the FA Cup on September 2, 2026.