Chornomorets Odesa - FC Obolon Kyiv prediction 18 September 2026
Chornomorets Odesa
FC Obolon KyivChornomorets Odesa
Karpaty LvivZorya LuganskChornomorets OdesaChornomorets OdesaFC KharkivChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon KyivShakhtar DonetskChornomorets OdesaChornomorets OdesaLivyi Bereh FCChornomorets OdesaKryvbas Kriviy RihSC VilkhivtsiChornomorets OdesaLNZ CherkasyChornomorets OdesaChornomorets OdesaKolos KovalivkaChornomorets OdesaPolissya ZhytomyrChornomorets OdesaMetalist KharkivBukovyna ChernivtsiChornomorets OdesaChornomorets OdesaLivyi Bereh FCFC ChernihivChornomorets OdesaPolissya ZhytomyrFC Obolon KyivFC Obolon KyivVeresFC Obolon KyivKryvbas Kriviy RihChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon KyivLNZ CherkasyFC Obolon KyivFC KharkivFC Obolon KyivKolos KovalivkaFC Obolon KyivKarpaty LvivFC Obolon KyivFK KudrivkaFC Obolon KyivBukovyna ChernivtsiFC Obolon KyivEpicentr DunaivtsiFC Obolon KyivFC Obolon KyivFK KudrivkaFC Obolon KyivLivyi Bereh FCFC Obolon KyivFK UCSAFC Obolon KyivLokomotiv KyivChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon KyivFC Obolon KyivChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon KyivChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon KyivChornomorets OdesaChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon KyivChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon KyivFC Obolon KyivChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon KyivChornomorets OdesaChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon KyivChornomorets OdesaFC Obolon Kyiv| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polissya Zhytomyr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18:7 | +11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 |  Karpaty Lviv | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:8 | +9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Zorya Lugansk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 |  LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 |  Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Veres | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 |  Livyi Bereh FC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | FC Obolon Kyiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:15 | -11 | 7 |
| 14 | Chornomorets Odesa | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 |  FK Kudrivka | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 |  Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
Chornomorets Odesa vs FC Obolon Kyiv Prediction (Sep 18, 2026)
The Chornomorets Odesa vs FC Obolon Kyiv prediction for the Premier League fixture on September 18, 2026, points towards a home win. Chornomorets Odesa holds a 45% chance of victory, while a draw stands at 30% and FC Obolon Kyiv has a 25% probability.
Team Form
Chornomorets Odesa's recent form has been mixed (D, W, L, L, D). At home they managed a 0-0 draw with Livyi Bereh FC and a 1-0 win over Kryvbas Kriviy Rih in their last two league outings. Earlier results include a cup loss to SC Vilkhivtsi and a defeat at LNZ Cherkasy. At the Chornomorets Stadium they have 4 points from 3 home league games (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss).
FC Obolon Kyiv travel on the back of a poor run (L, L, D, L, D). Their last two away trips ended in a 1-3 loss at LNZ Cherkasy and a heavy 0-5 defeat at FC Kharkiv. The only positive notes are goalless draws at Kolos Kovalivka and FK Kudrivka. Obolon's away form shows no wins in their last five fixtures on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last five meetings Chornomorets Odesa have won twice, FC Obolon Kyiv have won five times overall, and there have been two draws. The most recent Premier League encounter (April 12, 2025) ended 1-0 to Obolon. The last time Chornomorets hosted Obolon in the league (August 12, 2023) they won 2-0. Overall H2H record: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins.
League Table Positions
Complete league table data is not available, but Chornomorets Odesa rank 8th in the home standings with 4 points from 3 matches (1W, 1D, 1L, goals 2-2). FC Obolon Kyiv do not appear in the away table top 8, indicating a difficult season on their travels.
Win Probability: Chornomorets Odesa or FC Obolon Kyiv?
We calculated outcome probabilities by removing the margin from the bookmaker odds (home 2.30, draw 2.95, away 3.15) and then adjusting for team form and home advantage. The base figures were home 40%, draw 31%, away 29%. Because Obolon have lost heavily away and failed to win any of their last five road games, while Chornomorets picked up a home win against Kryvbas, the home win probability has been raised.
- Chornomorets Odesa win: 45%
- Draw: 30%
- FC Obolon Kyiv win: 25%
Chornomorets Odesa is therefore the more likely winner, but the low goal counts in recent home matches (only 2 goals scored in 3 home league games) suggest a narrow contest.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available 1X2 odds are: Chornomorets Odesa win at 2.30, the draw at 2.95, and an FC Obolon Kyiv win at 3.15. Bookmakers see the home side as the clear favorite. Based on the stats and the strong negative trend in Obolon's away performances, the prediction leans towards a Chornomorets Odesa victory. A low-scoring affair or a draw cannot be ruled out given the hosts' conservative home style.
Chornomorets Odesa vs FC Obolon Kyiv โ FAQ
- Who will win Chornomorets Odesa vs FC Obolon Kyiv?
- Chornomorets Odesa has a 45% chance of winning, a draw is at 30%, and FC Obolon Kyiv has a 25% chance. The home side is the favorite based on stronger home form and Obolon's poor away results.
- What is the win probability for Chornomorets Odesa?
- Chornomorets Odesa has a 45% win probability. This figure is derived from the bookmaker odds (2.30 for a home win) adjusted upward because Obolon Kyiv have lost heavily away and are winless in five road games.
- When is the Chornomorets Odesa vs FC Obolon Kyiv match?
- The match is scheduled for September 18, 2026, at 10:00 UTC. It is a Ukrainian Premier League fixture.
- What are the odds for Chornomorets Odesa vs FC Obolon Kyiv?
- The current 1X2 odds are: Chornomorets Odesa win 2.30, draw 2.95, FC Obolon Kyiv win 3.15.
- What is the head-to-head record between Chornomorets Odesa and FC Obolon Kyiv?
- In the last five matches, Chornomorets Odesa have 2 wins, FC Obolon Kyiv have 5 wins overall, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent league meeting (April 2025) ended 1-0 to Obolon.