Ciervos - Halcones Negros prediction 3 October 2026
Ciervos
Halcones Negros
AcatlanCiervosCiervosCanoneros MarinaAcambaro FCCiervosCiervosHalcones NegrosCiervosClub Union Melchor OcampoCalor de San PedroCiervosCiervosArtesanos MetepecCiervosDragones de OaxacaCiervosAvispones ChilpancingoFC SantiagoCiervosCiervosAtletico ZacatepecSporting CanamyCiervosCiervosGavilanes FC MatamorosCiervosCorrecaminos IICiervosZitacuaro CFGuerreros de AutlanHalcones NegrosHalcones NegrosAcambaro FCReal Refineros CdsHalcones NegrosCiervosHalcones NegrosHalcones NegrosCalor de San PedroArtesanos MetepecHalcones NegrosDragones de OaxacaHalcones NegrosHalcones NegrosDeportivo Delfines de CoatzacoalcosHalcones NegrosLechuzas UPGCHHalcones NegrosSport Street SoccerHalcones NegrosUniversidad del Golfo de MexicoUniversidad del Golfo de MexicoHalcones NegrosHalcones NegrosHeroes de Zaci HidalgoHalcones NegrosDeportivo MatamorosHalcones NegrosAtletico HuejutlaCiervosHalcones Negros| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Irapuato | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:5 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Racing De Veracruz | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:7 | +12 | 18 |
| 3 |  Pioneros de Cancun | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:7 | +11 | 17 |
| 4 |  Celaya CF | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 |  Reboceros de La Piedad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Tigres de Alica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Jaguares de Chiapas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Deportiva Venados | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Atletico Zacatepec | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Chapulineros | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lobos ULMX | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Los Cabos United | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Montaneses | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Cordobes FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Tapachula Soconusco FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:20 | -12 | 6 |
| 16 |  Purepechas | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Inter Playa del Carmen | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 |  Tritones Vallarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros Prediction (Oct 3)
Our Ciervos vs Halcones Negros prediction for the Liga Premier Serie A match on October3, 2026, expects Halcones Negros to claim a win with a55% probability. This Mexican league clash kicks off at22:30 local time, and the visitors are clear favorites according to both the bookmakers and the recent form guide.
Team Form
Ciervos are in dire touch, having lost all five of their last outings. The sequence includes a4-0 away defeat to Calor de San Pedro on Sep19, a0-1 home loss to Artesanos Metepec on Sep12, and a0-2 home reverse against Dragones de Oaxaca on Aug29. Earlier, the team went down1-2 at home to Avispones Chilpancingo and were thrashed5-0 at FC Santiago. Across these five matches, Ciervos scored only one goal and conceded14, underlining a deep crisis at both ends.
Halcones Negros' recent results are more mixed but include a dominant7-0 home win over Calor de San Pedro on Sep27. That was flanked by2-1 away losses to Artesanos Metepec and Dragones de Oaxaca, a0-0 home draw with Deportivo Delfines de Coatzacoalcos on Aug30, and a0-2 home defeat to Lechuzas UPGCH. While consistency is lacking, the sheer margin of the7-0 victory displays a capacity to punish fragile opponents โ exactly the profile of Ciervos.
Head-to-Head Record
There are no previous meetings between Ciervos and Halcones Negros in any competition, so the head-to-head record offers no guide for this fixture.
League Table Positions
The supplied standings for the Liga Premier Serie A show the top12 sides overall, at home, and away. Neither Ciervos nor Halcones Negros appears in any of these lists. This suggests both clubs are operating in the lower reaches of the table, with Ciervos very likely in the drop zone given their five-match losing streak.
Win Probability: Ciervos or Halcones Negros?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows:
- Ciervos win:22%
- Draw:23%
- Halcones Negros win:55%
The bookmakersโ raw implied odds give Halcones Negros a53.5% chance after normalizing the margin. However, Ciervosโ dire form (five straight losses,1 goal scored,14 conceded) and their absence from the top12 table entries force a further adjustment. Thus, we assign the visitors a55% probability, with a draw at23% and a home win only22%.
Odds & Match Prediction
Pre-match1X2 odds from the bookmakers are: Ciervos3.90, draw3.80, Halcones Negros1.67. These prices clearly identify the away side as the favourite. Our prediction for Ciervos vs Halcones Negros is an away win. Considering the massive gulf in recent performances and the lack of any H2H history to suggest an upset, Halcones Negros appear the safest betting angle, though the odds may be short for some punters.
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros โ FAQ
- Who will win Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
- Halcones Negros is the most likely winner with a 55% probability. A draw has a 23% chance, and Ciervos win only 22%. The prediction is based on bookmaker odds, the teamsโ recent form, and league positions.
- What is the win probability for Halcones Negros?
- Halcones Negros have a 55% win probability as per our calculation that adjusts the normalized bookmaker odds (53.5%) upward due to Ciervosโ terrible form of five consecutive defeats and a very poor goal difference in those games.
- When is the Ciervos vs Halcones Negros match?
- The match is scheduled for October 3, 2026, at 22:30 local time (UTC+1) in the Liga Premier Serie A, Mexico.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match 1X2 odds are: Ciervos 3.90, draw 3.80, and Halcones Negros 1.67. These odds heavily favor an away win.