Clachnacuddin - Bonnyrigg Rose prediction 3 October 2026

The Clachnacuddin vs Bonnyrigg Rose prediction for their FA Cup clash on October 3, 2026, at 15:00 points to a tight contest. Based on recent form and bookmaker odds, Bonnyrigg Rose enters as the slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Clachnacuddin holds a 30% chance and the draw sits at 30%. This Scottish cup tie promises a competitive battle between two sides from different tiers.

Team Form

Clachnacuddin's recent results have been underwhelming. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three draws and two losses, failing to secure a single victory. Their most recent outing was a 3-3 draw against Celtic B in the Challenge Cup on September 26. Prior to that, they suffered a heavy 5-1 home defeat to Ross County and played out draws with Deveronvale (2-2) and Formartine United (1-1). A 1-0 loss at Inverurie Loco Works on September 16 further highlights their struggles. The team has shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding in all five games.

Bonnyrigg Rose, on the other hand, has been more successful, winning three of their last five matches. They come into this fixture off a convincing 3-0 home win over Motherwell B in the Challenge Cup. Their other victories include a 2-1 win at Gala Fairydean and a 2-1 home success against Glasgow Rangers B. However, they have also suffered two lopsided losses: a 6-1 home defeat to Airdrieonians and a 3-1 loss at East Kilbride. This inconsistency makes them dangerous but beatable.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no prior head-to-head record between Clachnacuddin and Bonnyrigg Rose. This will be the first ever meeting between the two clubs, adding an element of unpredictability to the match. With zero previous encounters, no historical advantage exists for either side.

Win Probability: Clachnacuddin or Bonnyrigg Rose?

After analyzing the available data, the win probabilities for this match are: Clachnacuddin 30%, draw 30%, and Bonnyrigg Rose 40%. These figures are derived from the average bookmaker odds (home 2.30, draw 2.80, away 2.68) after removing the margin, then adjusted for team form. The base implied probabilities from the odds gave Clachnacuddin a slight edge at 37.3%, but their poor recent form—no wins in five—lowers their chances. Bonnyrigg Rose's three wins in five games justify the upward adjustment to 40%, making them the most likely winner. The draw remains a strong possibility given Clachnacuddin's three draws in that same period.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range of odds for this FA Cup tie. The best available odds for a Clachnacuddin win are around 2.25, a draw can be backed at 2.45, and a Bonnyrigg Rose victory is priced between 2.45 and 2.80. These odds reflect a competitive match with no clear dominant favorite. Based on the stats, our Clachnacuddin vs Bonnyrigg Rose prediction leans toward an away win, but the draw cannot be ruled out. Bonnyrigg Rose's superior form gives them the edge, though Clachnacuddin's home advantage may help them secure a result. A 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of the visitors appears the most likely outcome.