| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.90 | |
| 2.05 | 2.50 | 3.00 | |
| 2.05 | 2.45 | 3.10 | |
| 2.02 | 2.40 | 3.10 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | |
| 2 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | +10 | 32 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20:9 | +11 | 22 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:10 | +6 | 20 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:20 | +2 | 18 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16:28 | -12 | 15 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 13 | |
| 11 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 | |
| 12 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11:26 | -15 | 6 |
The Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville prediction for this Northern Ireland Premiership match on Sep 12 at 14:00 sees the visitors as the clear favorite. Based on our win probability analysis, Cliftonville has a 55% chance of winning, while Carrick Rangers sits at 25%, with a 20% probability of a draw.
Carrick Rangers enter this match with a mixed record in their last five games: W, W, L, W, L. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 defeat away to Linfield on Sep 05. At home, they have played two league matches this season, recording one win and one loss, scoring 1 goal and conceding 2.
Cliftonville's recent form across their last five matches reads W, W, L, L, W. They secured a 3-1 home victory against Portadown on Sep 05. On the road, Cliftonville have won one and lost one of their two away fixtures, scoring 3 goals and conceding just 1.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Cliftonville. In their last 29 meetings, Cliftonville have won 23 times, Carrick Rangers have won 4, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent five encounters all ended in Cliftonville victories, including a 4-1 away win on Jan 17, 2026, and a 3-0 home win on Mar 22, 2025.
Both teams have 9 points after 5 matches in the Premiership. Cliftonville sit 4th with a goal difference of +3 (8 scored, 5 conceded), while Carrick Rangers are 5th with a goal difference of +3 (7 scored, 4 conceded). The home and away splits show Carrick Rangers in 6th place at home (3 points from 2 games) and Cliftonville in 6th place away (3 points from 2 games).
Cliftonville has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Carrick Rangers has a 25% chance. This calculation is based on the bookmaker odds, which were normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for Cliftonville's dominant head-to-head record (23 wins in 29 meetings) and their stronger recent away performances. Despite identical overall points, Cliftonville's historical superiority in this fixture gives them a significant edge.
Bookmakers see this as a competitive match. The available 1X2 odds show Carrick Rangers' home win priced around 2.00 to 2.10, the draw between 2.25 and 3.40, and a Cliftonville away win between 3.00 and 3.50. Based on the stats, the value may lie with the away side. Our Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville prediction is an away win for Cliftonville, continuing their long-running dominance in this head-to-head series.