Mossley - Clitheroe prediction 8 September 2026

The Mossley vs Clitheroe prediction for this Northern Division One match on Sep 08 at 18:45 points towards a tight contest. Based on the available data, Mossley enters as the slight favorite with a 38% win probability, while Clitheroe has a 30% chance of an away victory, and the draw stands at 32%.

Team Form

Mossley's recent form has been mixed, with results showing D, D, L, W, W in their last five matches. At home, they drew 1-1 with Nantwich Town on Sep 05 and also recorded a 3-3 draw against Hallam in the FA Trophy on Aug 29. A 2-1 loss at Vauxhall Motors on Aug 18 was followed by two wins: 2-0 against Silsden in the FA Cup and 1-0 against AFC Emley in a friendly.

Clitheroe's last five results read W, W, L, D, L. They secured back-to-back home wins, beating Chasetown 3-2 on Sep 05 and Stalybridge Celtic 2-1 on Aug 25. However, a 1-0 home loss to Lower Breck on Aug 18, a 1-1 friendly draw at Curzon Ashton, and a 2-0 away defeat at Kidsgrove Athletic in March show inconsistency on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited, with Mossley holding a slight edge. In their two previous meetings, Mossley has 1 win and there has been 1 draw. Clitheroe is yet to record a victory. The most recent clash on Aug 16, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw at Mossley. Earlier, on Jan 04, 2025, Mossley won 1-0 away at Clitheroe.

League Table Positions

In the overall Northern Division One standings, Mossley sits 9th with 59 points from 41 matches (14 wins, 17 draws, 10 losses), scoring 59 goals and conceding 51. Clitheroe is not listed in the top 12 of the provided table, suggesting a lower position. Mossley's home form is solid, ranking 7th with 34 points from 21 home games (8 wins, 10 draws, 3 losses), making them tough to beat at their ground.

Win Probability: Mossley or Clitheroe?

Calculating the win probability from the available odds (home: 2.75, draw: 2.30, away: 3.10), we first find the implied probabilities. The inverse of the odds gives Mossley 36.4%, the draw 43.5%, and Clitheroe 32.3%, totaling 112.2%. Normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, the fair probabilities are: Mossley win 32.4%, draw 38.8%, Clitheroe win 28.8%. Adjusting for Mossley's strong home form (only 3 losses in 21 home games) and their unbeaten H2H record (1 win, 1 draw), we shift the probabilities slightly in their favor. The final assessment gives Mossley a 38% chance of winning, the draw a 32% chance, and Clitheroe a 30% chance. Mossley is more likely to win, but a draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match closely. The odds for a Mossley win are 2.75, a draw is at 2.30, and a Clitheroe away win is at 3.10. The low odds for the draw reflect the competitive balance and Mossley's high number of draws this season (17 in 41 games). Based on the stats, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the most probable outcome is a narrow win for Mossley, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.