Newcastle Town - Clitheroe prediction 13 October 2026

Our Newcastle Town vs Clitheroe prediction for the Northern Division One match on Oct 13, 2026, points to a very evenly matched contest. The bookmakers see the draw as the most probable outcome, and our win probability model gives Newcastle Town a 32% chance, the draw 38%, and Clitheroe 30%. Read on for detailed team form, head-to-head stats, and betting tips.

Team Form

Newcastle Town

Newcastle Town's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. They suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Stafford Rangers on Sep 29, but bounced back with a stunning 5-1 away victory at Lichfield City on Sep 16. A 2-1 win at Cleethorpes Town in the FA Cup on Sep 5 was followed by a heavy 0-3 home loss to Bourne Town in the FA Trophy on Aug 29. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 home draw against Chasetown on Aug 25. At home specifically, their last two home games have been a loss and a draw, indicating some vulnerability.

Clitheroe

Clitheroe arrive in better form, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They lost a high-scoring thriller 3-4 at home to Congleton Town on Oct 6, but before that they drew 1-1 with Runcorn Linnets on Sep 29. Away from home, they secured a 1-0 win at Mossley on Sep 8. Their home form has been strong too, beating Chasetown 3-2 on Sep 5 and Stalybridge Celtic 2-1 on Aug 25. Clitheroe's attack has been consistent, scoring in all of those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced after two meetings. Newcastle Town won 2-1 at home on Nov 12, 2024, while Clitheroe returned the favour with a 1-0 home victory on Sep 27, 2025. Both matches were decided by a single goal, and the home team triumphed on each occasion. This suggests that home advantage could play a key role in the upcoming fixture.

League Table Positions

The available Northern Division One standings only show the top 12 teams, and neither Newcastle Town nor Clitheroe appear in that list. This indicates that both clubs are likely positioned in the lower half of the table. Without exact ranks, it's difficult to gauge their exact standing, but the data suggests a mid-to-lower table clash with little to separate them.

Win Probability: Newcastle Town or Clitheroe?

Based on the betting odds and recent performances, we have calculated the win probabilities for this match. Newcastle Town has a 32% chance of winning, the draw is the most likely single outcome at 38%, and Clitheroe has a 30% chance. The odds imply a tight contest, and Clitheroe's superior recent away form (three wins in their last five away games) offsets Newcastle Town's home advantage. The head-to-head record also supports a close game, with both previous meetings won by the home side. Overall, the draw looks the safest prediction, but Newcastle Town's slight edge in win probability over Clitheroe makes them the marginal favourite to take all three points if there is a winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers are: Newcastle Town win at 2.70, a draw at 2.40, and Clitheroe win at 3.00. These odds reflect the balanced nature of this fixture. The draw is priced as the most likely result, which aligns with our probability model. For betting tips, the draw (2.40) offers value, while a low-scoring game could also be on the cards given that both previous H2H matches had under 2.5 goals. Based on the stats, our Newcastle Town vs Clitheroe prediction is a closely fought draw, but with Clitheroe's attacking form, both teams to score is a possibility.