Clitheroe - Runcorn Linnets prediction 29 September 2026

Our Clitheroe vs Runcorn Linnets prediction for the Northern Division One match on September 29, 2026, at 19:45, points to a tight contest with Clitheroe holding a slight edge at home. The win probability gives Clitheroe a 39% chance, a draw 37%, and Runcorn Linnets 24%. Read on for detailed team form, head-to-head stats, and betting odds.

Team Form

Clitheroe's last five results:

• Sep 8: Mossley 0-1 Clitheroe (W)
• Sep 5: Clitheroe 3-2 Chasetown (W)
• Aug 25: Clitheroe 2-1 Stalybridge Celtic (W)
• Aug 18: Clitheroe 0-1 Lower Breck (L)
• Jul 25: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Clitheroe (D) – Friendly

That’s three wins, one loss, and one draw, with the only defeat coming at home to Lower Breck. The friendly draw can be discounted, so their league form is excellent.

Runcorn Linnets' last five results:

• Sep 26: Runcorn Linnets 1-1 Chasetown (D)
• Sep 15: Runcorn Linnets 1-2 Atherton Collieries (L)
• Aug 29: Stocksbridge Park Steels 1-2 Runcorn Linnets (W) – FA Trophy
• Aug 25: Runcorn Linnets 3-2 Lower Breck (W)
• Aug 11: Runcorn Linnets 0-2 Bootle (L)

They have two wins, two losses, and one draw. The FA Trophy win shows they can perform away, but their league form has been patchy with a home draw and a home loss in their last two league games.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice in recent history, with one win apiece. The most recent clash was on December 16, 2025, when Runcorn Linnets won 2-0 at home. Earlier, on April 5, 2025, Clitheroe secured a 3-0 away victory. There have been no draws between them.

League Table Positions

Runcorn Linnets sit 4th in the Northern Division One table with 77 points from 41 matches (22 wins, 11 draws, 8 losses). Their away record is solid: 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses in 20 away games. Clitheroe are not in the top 12 of the standings, indicating a lower league position. This suggests Runcorn Linnets are the stronger side on paper, but Clitheroe’s home advantage could level the playing field.

Win Probability: Clitheroe or Runcorn Linnets?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Clitheroe win: 39%
• Draw: 37%
• Runcorn Linnets win: 24%

The probabilities are derived from the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home 2.30, draw 2.40, away 3.75) after removing the margin, then adjusted for Clitheroe’s strong recent form and home advantage, balanced by Runcorn Linnets’ higher league standing. Clitheroe are the most likely winners, but the match is expected to be close, with a draw almost as probable.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers’ odds for this match are: Clitheroe 2.30, Draw 2.40, Runcorn Linnets 3.75. These odds imply Clitheroe are the favorites, which aligns with our probability assessment. Our Clitheroe vs Runcorn Linnets prediction is that Clitheroe have the best chance of winning, but a draw is a very realistic outcome. If you are looking for betting tips, the home win at 2.30 could offer value given Clitheroe’s form, but the draw at 2.40 is also an attractive option in what should be a tight contest.