Club Almagro Reserves - CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve prediction 17 September 2026

Club Almagro Reserves vs CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve prediction: the match takes place on Sep 17, 2026, at 18:00 in the Primera Nacional. Reserve League. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, the draw is the most likely outcome with a 40% probability, while CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve holds a slight edge over the home side for a win.

Team Form

Club Almagro Reserves come into this fixture without a win in their last five matches. Their recent results show four draws and one defeat: a 1-1 draw away to CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves, a 0-0 home draw against this same opponent, a 2-2 draw at CA San Miguel Reserves, a 1-1 home draw with CA Ferrocarril Midland Reserves, and a 2-1 loss at Agropecuario Reserves. The team has scored 5 goals and conceded 6 in this period, struggling to turn draws into victories.

CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve, in contrast, are in strong form. Their last five matches produced three wins, one draw, and one loss: a 4-1 home win over Acassuso Reserves, a 3-2 home win against Chacarita Juniors Reserves, the 0-0 draw at Club Almagro Reserves, a 2-1 home loss to CA Atlanta Reserves, and a 3-2 away victory at Deportivo Moron Reserves. They have netted 11 goals and conceded 7, showing consistent attacking output.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met twice in the Primera Nacional. Reserve League. Club Almagro Reserves remain unbeaten with one win and one draw. On Jul 23, 2025, the home side secured a 2-0 victory. The most recent encounter on Aug 27, 2026, ended in a 0-0 stalemate. CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve have yet to beat Club Almagro Reserves in this fixture.

League Table Positions

The provided league standings cover the top 12 teams in the division, but neither Club Almagro Reserves nor CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve appear in those lists. Therefore, their exact positions and points totals are not available from the data. The form guide suggests the away side is performing better, but a direct table comparison cannot be made.

Win Probability: Club Almagro Reserves or CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head history, the win probabilities are as follows:

• Club Almagro Reserves win: 25%
• Draw: 40%
• CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve win: 35%

The odds implied a draw probability of around 43.6%, with the home win at 27.5% and the away win at 28.9%. However, the away team’s superior form (three wins in five) increases their chances, while the home side’s run of four draws and one loss reduces theirs. The head-to-head record, with Club Almagro Reserves unbeaten in two meetings, keeps the draw as the most probable outcome. Overall, CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve are slightly more likely to win than the hosts, but a stalemate is the single most likely result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: home win at 3.25–3.40, draw at 2.05, and away win at 3.00–3.10. The consistently low draw odds confirm that the market views a tie as the favourite. Our analysis aligns with this: based on the stats, a draw is the most probable outcome. However, CA Mitre Santiago Del Estero Reserve’s strong form makes them a credible threat to take all three points. The final prediction is a draw, but an away win cannot be ruled out.