Club Deportivo Los Millonarios - Once Caldas prediction 21 October 2026

The Club Deportivo Los Millonarios vs Once Caldas prediction for October 21, 2026, sees these two Primera A sides meet at El Campín in Bogotá. Based on the data, Club Deportivo Los Millonarios enters this contest as the favorite. Our analysis gives the hosts a 47% chance of taking all three points.

Team Form

Club Deportivo Los Millonarios comes into this match with a record of one win and four draws in their last five outings. Their most recent fixture was a convincing 4–1 home victory against Jaguares de Cordoba on October 18. This result ended a run of four consecutive draws. Notably, they have been tough to beat, but turning draws into wins remains the priority.

Once Caldas shows slightly more varied recent results. They have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games. Their most recent match was an impressive 2–0 away win against EDP Independiente Medellin on October 18. Prior to that, they played out a scoreless draw against today's opponents before defeating Llaneros FC 1–0 at home.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head record between Club Deportivo Los Millonarios and Once Caldas is extremely balanced. Across 31 previous meetings, both sides have 10 wins each, with 11 matches ending in a draw. The most recent encounter was just a week ago, on October 14, 2026, where they played to a 0–0 stalemate at this same venue. Four of the last five head-to-head matches have ended in draws, highlighting how evenly matched these teams typically are.

League Table Positions

In the Primera A overall standings, Once Caldas sits in 5th place with 33 points from 19 games, having lost only twice. Club Deportivo Los Millonarios is in 10th place with 26 points. Looking at the home table, the hosts are much stronger, ranked 5th with 21 points from 10 games at El Campín, and only one loss. Once Caldas' away form places them 6th, with 12 points from 9 road trips, suffering just a single defeat.

Win Probability: Club Deportivo Los Millonarios or Once Caldas?

Analyzing all available data, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Club Deportivo Los Millonarios has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Once Caldas has a 21% chance. The calculation is based on the inverse of the best available bookmaker odds (home 1.74, draw 2.10, away 4.33), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted upwards for the home side because of their strong record at El Campín and the frequency of draws in this head-to-head fixture. The conclusion is that while a home win is the single most likely outcome, a draw is a very significant probability that cannot be overlooked.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Club Deportivo Los Millonarios as the favorite for this contest. The best available odds for a home win are listed at 2.10, with a draw priced at 2.10 and an away win for Once Caldas at 4.50. Other bookmakers offer as low as 1.74 for a home victory, which strongly supports the hosts' favored status. Based on the stats, the strong home form of Los Millonarios and the recent head-to-head results, the most probable match outcome is a narrow win for the home side or another draw.