Club Leon Women - Atlante FC Women prediction 20 October 2026

The Club Leon Women vs Atlante FC Women prediction for this Liga MX Women clash on October 20, 2026, points towards a home victory. Based on our win probability model, Club Leon Women have a 51% chance to win, making them the favorites over Atlante FC Women, who enter this match as underdogs with a 22% win probability.

Team Form

Club Leon Women's recent form shows inconsistency with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches (W, W, L, L, D). Their most recent result was a 0-0 away draw against Atlas Women on October 3. Prior to that, they suffered heavy back-to-back home defeats: 0-5 against Club America Women and 0-2 against Juarez Women. However, they demonstrated their attacking potential with a 5-2 home thrashing of Puebla Women on September 8.

Atlante FC Women arrive with just one win in their last five outings (L, L, W, D, L). They are coming off a 1-0 away loss to Tijuana Women on October 4. Their sole bright spot was a 2-1 home win over Queretaro Women on September 21, sandwiched between a 0-0 home draw with Unam Pumas Women and defeats to Atlas Women and Juarez Women.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Club Leon Women and Atlante FC Women. The H2H record stands at 0 wins for Club Leon Women, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Atlante FC Women, making this their first competitive meeting.

League Table Positions

Club Leon Women sit 11th in the Liga MX Women overall table with 12 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses). Their away form is notably stronger, ranking 7th with 9 points from 4 away games. Atlante FC Women are not listed in the top 8 of any available standings snapshot, indicating they are positioned lower in the league table and have accumulated fewer points than their opponents.

Win Probability: Club Leon Women or Atlante FC Women?

The win probability calculation is based on available odds, recent form, and league standings. Taking the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (home: 1.72, draw: 2.66, away: 5.89) and normalizing to remove the margin, the implied probabilities adjust to reflect on-pitch realities. Club Leon Women's superior league position and stronger recent results (including a high-scoring home win) boost their chances, while Atlante FC Women's poor run of form and lower table status reduce their likelihood of an upset. The final probabilities are:

• Club Leon Women win: 51%
• Draw: 27%
• Atlante FC Women win: 22%

Club Leon Women are the more likely winners based on the stats.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Club Leon Women as the clear favorite. The available 1X2 odds show home win prices ranging from 1.70 to 1.73, the draw between 2.58 and 2.75, and an away win for Atlante FC Women from 5.50 to 6.30. The highest available home win odds are 1.73, with the draw at 2.75 and an away win at 6.30. Based on the combination of form, table position, and home advantage, a Club Leon Women victory is the most probable outcome.