Club Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo prediction 25 September 2026

The Club Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo prediction points towards a tight Primera C Metropolitana contest on Sep 25, 2026, at 23:00. Based on head-to-head dominance and home advantage, Club Mercedes has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Puerto Nuevo has a 20% chance.

Team Form

Club Mercedes enters this match with inconsistent results, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. Their most recent match was a 1-0 away victory against Leandro Niceforo Alem on Sep 20. Before that, they drew 1-1 at home against Deportivo Espanol twice and suffered a heavy 3-0 home defeat to Defensores de Cambaceres. Puerto Nuevo's form is poor, with four losses in their last five matches. They lost 3-2 at home to Deportivo Paraguayo on Sep 20, fell 2-0 away to Central Ballester, and were beaten 1-0 at home by CA Lugano. Their only recent win was a 3-0 away success at Leandro Niceforo Alem on Aug 30.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Club Mercedes, who remain unbeaten in four meetings with one win and three draws. The most recent clash on May 30, 2026, ended 1-1 at Puerto Nuevo. Earlier, on Aug 24, 2025, the teams drew 1-1 at Club Mercedes. Club Mercedes' sole victory came on May 11, 2025, a 2-1 away win. The other fixture, on Oct 20, 2024, finished 2-2.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera C Metropolitana standings, Club Mercedes sits 12th with 40 points from 29 matches (10 wins, 10 draws, 9 losses). Puerto Nuevo is not listed in the top 12 overall but ranks 3rd in the away table with 24 points from 14 away games (6 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses). Club Mercedes holds the 6th spot in the home table, collecting 24 points from 14 home fixtures (6 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses), with 17 goals scored and only 9 conceded at home.

Win Probability: Club Mercedes or Puerto Nuevo?

Club Mercedes has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Puerto Nuevo has a 20% chance. This calculation is based on the available form and head-to-head data, as no odds were provided. Club Mercedes' home strength (only 2 losses in 14 home games) and unbeaten H2H record (1 win, 3 draws) justify their favorite status. Puerto Nuevo's poor recent form (4 losses in 5) significantly lowers their win probability, though their solid away record (3rd in the away standings) keeps the draw probability high.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the data for this fixture. Based on the stats, Club Mercedes is the more likely winner. A home win or a draw are the most probable outcomes, given the history of stalemates between these sides. Puerto Nuevo's chances appear slim unless they drastically improve their current form.