EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves - Club Molino Viejo prediction 27 October 2026

This EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves vs Club Molino Viejo prediction covers the Liga Antioquena match on October 27, 2026, at 15:00. Bookmakers and recent form point to EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves as the favorite with an estimated 45% win probability, while Club Molino Viejo has a 27% chance and the draw stands at 28%.

Team Form

EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves come into this game with a recent record of L, W, W, W, L in their last five matches. Their most recent fixture was a 2-1 away loss to CD Olympia JV on September 22, but before that they won three straight, including a 1-0 home victory over Real Santuario and two away wins with multiple goals. Club Molino Viejo’s last five form reads L, D, W, D, D. They lost 1-2 at home to Rionegro Aguilas Reserves on October 20, but have been tough to beat on their travels, picking up three draws and a 5-0 away win in that stretch. Both sides will be keen to bounce back after recent defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves and Club Molino Viejo. This will be the first head-to-head clash in any competition, so there is no historical data to lean on.

Win Probability: EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves or Club Molino Viejo?

Based on the available odds, recent form, and the home advantage, EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves have a 45% chance of winning. The draw probability is 28%, while Club Molino Viejo’s win probability is 27%. These figures are derived from the inverse of bookmaker odds (normalized to remove the margin) and adjusted for the home team’s slightly superior win record (3 wins in 5) and playing at home. Club Molino Viejo’s tendency to draw matches – three in their last five – keeps the draw probability relatively high.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker prices show a closely matched contest. One bookmaker lists EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves at 2.60, the draw at 2.38, and Club Molino Viejo at 3.30. Another offers home 2.05, draw 3.50, away 2.90. These odds underline the narrow margins. Our prediction: based on the stats, EDP Independiente Medellin Reserves are the slight favorites to win, but the draw is a very realistic outcome. A cautious bet on the home side could offer value, but expecting a tight, low-scoring affair is reasonable.