Wydad Casablanca - CODM Meknes prediction 11 October 2026

Our Wydad Casablanca vs CODM Meknes prediction for this Botola match on October 11, 2026 at 21:00 sees Wydad Casablanca as the favorite with a 55% win probability. The match will be played at Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca, and bookmakers have priced the home side as clear favorites. However, recent form suggests this could be closer than the odds imply.

Team Form

Wydad Casablanca come into this match with poor recent form, having lost four of their last five matches. Their only win in that run was a 2-0 away victory at Difaa El Jadida on October 3. The other results were:

• Sep 26: Wydad Casablanca 1-3 Wydad Sportif Temara (Home)
• Jul 5: Wydad Casablanca 1-2 Union Touarga (Home)
• Jul 2: RSB Berkane 2-0 Wydad Casablanca (Away)
• Jun 28: Wydad Casablanca 1-3 Olympique Dcheira (Home)

That run shows defensive frailties, with 10 goals conceded in five matches.

CODM Meknes have been more consistent, winning three of their last five. Their recent results:

• Oct 3: CODM Meknes 0-1 Kawkab Marrakech (Home)
• Sep 26: Difaa El Jadida 2-6 CODM Meknes (Away)
• Sep 3: Ittihad Tanger 0-1 CODM Meknes (Friendly, Away)
• Jul 5: Ittihad Tanger 2-1 CODM Meknes (Away)
• Jul 2: CODM Meknes 3-2 FAR Rabat (Home)

They have scored 11 goals in these five games, with the 6-2 away win a standout performance.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings between these sides, Wydad Casablanca have won twice, CODM Meknes once, and one draw. The head-to-head results are:

• May 6, 2026: Wydad Casablanca 2-0 CODM Meknes
• Oct 3, 2025: CODM Meknes 1-3 Wydad Casablanca
• Feb 22, 2025: Wydad Casablanca 0-0 CODM Meknes
• Oct 23, 2024: CODM Meknes 2-0 Wydad Casablanca

Wydad are unbeaten in the last three H2Hs (2W 1D), and at home they have a win and a draw against CODM. This historical edge supports their favorite status.

League Table Positions

Both teams have collected 3 points from their opening two Botola matches. CODM Meknes sit 6th with a +3 goal difference (6 scored, 3 conceded), while Wydad Casablanca are 9th with a 0 goal difference (3 scored, 3 conceded). CODM’s away win (6-2) and home loss (0-1) contrast with Wydad’s away win (2-0) and home loss (1-3). The table is tight, and a win here could push either side up the standings.

Win Probability: Wydad Casablanca or CODM Meknes?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Wydad Casablanca win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• CODM Meknes win: 20%

The bookmakers’ odds imply a 57% chance for a home win, but we have adjusted slightly downward due to Wydad’s poor recent form. CODM Meknes’ strong away performance (6-2 win) adds to the likelihood of an upset, but Wydad’s historical dominance in this fixture and home advantage keep them as favorites. The draw is a realistic outcome given both teams’ inconsistency.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds of 1.72 for a Wydad Casablanca win, 3.44 for the draw, and 6.88 for a CODM Meknes victory. These odds reflect the market’s view that Wydad are the most likely winners. Our prediction aligns with that, but we caution that the value might lie in the draw or even an away win given the contrasting form. Based on the stats, we predict a narrow home win, but a 1-1 draw cannot be ruled out.