Cofutpa - PFA Santa Cruz prediction 27 September 2026

The Cofutpa vs PFA Santa Cruz prediction for Sep 27, 2026 at 18:00 in Costa Rica's Liga de Ascenso points to a narrow home edge. Based on the available form, head-to-head record and league table data, Cofutpa has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and PFA Santa Cruz has a 25% chance.

Team Form

Cofutpa have not won any of their last five matches. Their recent Liga de Ascenso results are: 1–2 home loss to AD Sarchi on Sep 19, 1–2 away loss to Asociacion Deportiva Rosario on Sep 13, 0–0 home draw with Municipal Grecia on Sep 8, 0–3 away loss to Quepos Cambute on Aug 30, and 0–1 home loss to ADR Jicaral on Aug 17. That is four defeats and one draw.

PFA Santa Cruz are in worse shape with five straight defeats. Their last five results: 0–2 home loss to Quepos Cambute on Sep 20, 1–2 home loss to Asociacion Deportiva Rosario on Aug 30, 1–4 away loss to ADR Jicaral on Aug 23, 0–4 away loss to Quepos Cambute on Aug 2, and 1–4 away loss to CD Escorpiones Belen on Apr 25.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record shows Cofutpa with 3 wins, 3 draws and PFA Santa Cruz with 2 wins. The most recent five meetings include one Cofutpa win, one PFA Santa Cruz win and three draws. On Mar 11, 2026, the teams drew 3–3 at Cofutpa. PFA Santa Cruz won 4–1 at home on Jan 25, 2026. The other recent results were 0–0 on Oct 12, 2025, 1–1 on Aug 31, 2025, and a 5–0 away win for Cofutpa on Mar 26, 2024.

League Table Positions

In the provided Liga de Ascenso standings, PFA Santa Cruz appears as Santa Cruz PE in 11th place with 6 points from 7 matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses, 10 goals scored and 15 conceded. Cofutpa is not shown in the available overall table. In home standings, Santa Cruz PE is 8th with 6 points from 5 home games. Cofutpa's home ranking is not listed in the provided home-top-eight table.

Win Probability: Cofutpa or PFA Santa Cruz?

Based on the available statistics, the win probabilities are: Cofutpa 45%, draw 30%, PFA Santa Cruz 25%. The total is 100%.

This calculation gives Cofutpa the edge because of home advantage and a 3–2 overall head-to-head lead. PFA Santa Cruz have lost five consecutive matches and have been outscored heavily on the road in recent away games, including 1–4, 0–4 and 1–4 defeats. However, Cofutpa have also failed to win any of their last five, and three of the most recent H2H meetings ended level, so the draw stays high at 30%.

Odds & Cofutpa vs PFA Santa Cruz Prediction

No specific 1X2 odds are available in the JSON data, so this prediction is based on form, head-to-head results and league table positions rather than bookmaker prices. The stats-based prediction is a narrow Cofutpa win, with a draw as the second most likely outcome. For safer betting tips, a Cofutpa win or draw double chance aligns with the data because PFA Santa Cruz's five-match losing run and away defensive record are clear negatives.