C.H. FC vs Colegio Once Mexico prediction: this Liga TDP fixture on October 2, 2026 at 17:00 sees home side C.H. FC as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability. Colegio Once Mexico travels with an uphill task, but both teams enter the match in patchy form.
C.H. FC broke a four-match losing streak with a 5-0 home win over Ciervos II on September 11, 2026. Before that victory, they suffered heavy defeats: a 10-1 loss at Ecatepec, a 2-1 home loss to Centro de Formacion Cuauhtemoc Blanco, an 8-1 home reverse against Club Union Melchor Ocampo, and a 9-1 home thrashing by Aztecas AMF. The overall sequence reads W, L, L, L, L.
Colegio Once Mexico are also struggling. Their last five away matches produced four losses: a 4-0 defeat at CD Mexiquense, a 5-4 loss at Iguala, a 1-0 loss at Deportivo Yautepec, and a 2-0 loss at Selva Canera. The only bright spot was a 3-0 win at Zapata on February 18, 2026. Their form string is L, L, W, L, L.
These sides have met twice before, both matches hosted by C.H. FC. The home team won both encounters: a 3-0 victory in Liga TDP on December 8, 2023, and a 1-0 success in Liga de Expansion MX on January 20, 2023. The head-to-head record stands at 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins.
Based on bookmaker odds, team form, and head-to-head data, C.H. FC has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is priced at 22%, and Colegio Once Mexico holds a 23% chance. The home sideโs strong H2H record and the recent home victory tilt the balance, but both teamsโ defensive vulnerability means an away upset or draw cannot be ruled out entirely.
Pre-match 1X2 odds from bookmakers show C.H. FC at 1.65, the draw at 4.10, and Colegio Once Mexico at 3.70. The odds clearly reflect home advantage and the historical dominance of C.H. FC in this fixture. Taking all the stats into account, the safest selection appears to be a home win. However, the heavy defeats suffered by C.H. FC earlier in the year suggest caution; a low-scoring encounter is not guaranteed. The final prediction is C.H. FC to win, but the probability of a shock result is higher than the raw odds imply.