CD Mexiquense - Colegio Once Mexico prediction 5 September 2026

CD Mexiquense vs Colegio Once Mexico prediction for the Liga TDP match on Sep 05, 2026, at 16:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, CD Mexiquense is the clear favorite with a 58% win probability. If you're wondering who will win CD Mexiquense vs Colegio Once Mexico, our analysis points to a home victory. This betting preview covers team form, head-to-head record, win probabilities, and the best odds for this Mexican fixture.

Team Form

CD Mexiquense come into this match with a form line of L, D, W, W, D from their last five outings. They lost 1-0 away to Aztecas AMF, drew 1-1 at Club Union Melchor Ocampo, won 1-0 at Sangre de Campeon, beat Oceania 1-0 at home, and drew 1-1 at Formafutintegral. That's two wins, two draws, and one defeat, with only three goals conceded. Their only defeat in this sequence came away, and they have kept two clean sheets. Notably, they won their most recent home fixture and have been solid defensively.

Colegio Once Mexico's recent form is poor: L, W, L, L, L. They lost a high-scoring 5-4 thriller at Iguala, then beat Zapata 3-0 away, but subsequently lost 1-0 at Deportivo Yautepec, 2-0 at Selva Canera, and 2-1 at Mineros Zacatecas Cdmx. With four losses in five, they have conceded 10 goals and look vulnerable, especially on the road where all these matches were played. The 3-0 victory at Zapata is their lone bright spot; otherwise, they have failed to score in two of those five matches and conceded at least two goals in three of them.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between CD Mexiquense and Colegio Once Mexico. This will be their first encounter, so no head-to-head trends are available.

CD Mexiquense vs Colegio Once Mexico Prediction: Win Probability

CD Mexiquense has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Colegio Once Mexico has a 14% chance. These probabilities are calculated from the bookmakers' odds (home 1.62, draw 3.00, away 6.50), adjusted for recent form. The implied probabilities from the odds (after removing the margin) are 55.9% for a home win, 30.2% for a draw, and 13.9% for an away win. We have adjusted these slightly to reflect CD Mexiquense's stronger results and Colegio Once Mexico's four defeats in five, giving the home side a 58% chance. Home advantage also plays a key role. The draw remains a realistic outcome given CD Mexiquense's two draws in their last five.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: CD Mexiquense win at 1.62, draw at 3.00, Colegio Once Mexico win at 6.50. Bookmakers clearly favor the home side. The odds of 1.62 for a home win suggest a 61.7% chance before removing the bookmaker margin, which is slightly higher than our adjusted probability, but still indicates strong favoritism. For bettors looking for value, the draw at 3.00 might appeal given CD Mexiquense's two recent draws. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome. Our prediction: CD Mexiquense to win.