Carrick Rangers Reserves - Coleraine Reserves prediction 21 September 2026

Carrick Rangers Reserves vs Coleraine Reserves prediction for the Reserve League match on Sep 21, 2026, at 20:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, Coleraine Reserves have a slight edge with a 35% win probability, while Carrick Rangers Reserves are at 33% and the draw at 32%.

Team Form

Carrick Rangers Reserves have shown mixed results in their last five matches, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their most recent outing was a 3-2 away victory against Portadown Reserves on Sep 14. Before that, they suffered a 1-3 home defeat to Crusaders Reserves, drew 2-2 at Larne Reserves, lost 1-2 at Bangor Reserves, and secured a convincing 4-1 home win over Coleraine Reserves back in April. This indicates that Carrick can be dangerous at home, especially against Coleraine.

Coleraine Reserves have also had a patchy run, with two wins and three losses in their last five. They won 2-1 at home against Cliftonville Olympic Reserves on Sep 14, but lost 1-2 away to Limavady United Reserves, were beaten 1-4 at home by Glentoran Reserves, lost 1-4 away to Carrick Rangers Reserves, and beat Portadown Reserves 3-1 at home in March. Their away form is a concern, with three defeats in the last four road trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these two sides is closely contested. In 12 previous meetings, Carrick Rangers Reserves have won 3, Coleraine Reserves have won 4, and there have been 5 draws. The most recent clash on Apr 27, 2026, saw Carrick Rangers Reserves triumph 4-1 at home. Earlier in 2026, Coleraine won 2-1 at Carrick, and the teams played out a 0-0 draw in January. Coleraine also recorded a 4-0 home win in February 2025. The high number of draws suggests that these matches are often tight. The last five head-to-head matches have averaged 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in three of them.

Win Probability: Carrick Rangers Reserves or Coleraine Reserves?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, and head-to-head statistics, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Carrick Rangers Reserves win: 33%
• Draw: 32%
• Coleraine Reserves win: 35%

These percentages are based on the bookmaker odds of 2.88 for a home win, 2.88 for a draw, and 2.38 for an away win. The implied probabilities from these odds (after removing the margin) were 31.2% home, 31.2% draw, 37.7% away. We adjusted slightly in favor of Carrick due to their strong 4-1 victory in the last head-to-head meeting and Coleraine's poor away form (three losses in four). However, Coleraine remain the marginal favorites according to the betting market.

Carrick Rangers Reserves vs Coleraine Reserves Odds & Prediction

The best available odds for this Reserve League fixture show Carrick Rangers Reserves at 2.88, the draw at 2.88, and Coleraine Reserves at 2.38. Another bookmaker offers 2.75 for a home win, 2.90 for the draw, and 2.30 for an away win. Bookmakers clearly see Coleraine Reserves as the favorite, but the odds are close, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup.

Our prediction: based on the stats, Coleraine Reserves have a slightly higher chance of winning, but a draw is a very realistic outcome given the 5 draws in 12 H2H encounters. Carrick Rangers Reserves cannot be discounted, especially after their recent 4-1 win in this fixture. For betting tips, the draw odds of 2.88 could offer value, and the both teams to score market might appeal given that both sides have found the net in three of the last five head-to-heads. Considering all factors, the match is likely to be a closely fought contest with a slight lean towards the away side.