Crusaders - Coleraine prediction 24 October 2026

The Crusaders vs Coleraine prediction for this Premiership clash on October 24, 2026, points firmly towards an away win. Coleraine enters the match as the clear favorite with a 68% win probability, while Crusaders have just a 10% chance of victory and the draw sits at 22%.

Team Form

Crusaders are in poor shape, losing four of their last five matches. They fell 2-1 at Ballymena United, were beaten 3-0 at home by Larne, lost 4-0 at Carrick Rangers, and suffered a 1-0 defeat at Linfield. Their only recent success was a 2-1 home win over Bangor FC. With just one victory in that run, confidence is low.

Coleraine, by contrast, have won four of their last five. They claimed a 3-2 away win at Larne, beat Cliftonville 1-0 at home, edged Bangor FC 3-2 on the road, and defeated Limavady United 1-0 at home. The only blemish was a 3-1 home loss to Linfield. This strong form, especially away from home, makes them formidable opponents.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record shows 18 Crusaders wins, 6 draws, and 26 Coleraine victories. Recent meetings have been completely one-sided: Coleraine have won the last five encounters, often by wide margins. The most recent clash on September 5, 2026, ended 4-1 to Coleraine. Earlier in 2026, they won 5-1 and 4-0, and in late 2025 they recorded 2-0 and 4-0 away wins at Crusaders. Crusaders have failed to score in four of those five matches.

League Table Positions

Coleraine sit top of the Premiership with 31 points from 12 games (10 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Crusaders are 7th with 15 points (5 wins, 0 draws, 7 losses). The gap in quality is further highlighted by home and away records: Crusaders are 4th in the home table with 12 points from 6 games, while Coleraine boast a perfect away record – 6 wins from 6 matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding only 6.

Win Probability: Crusaders or Coleraine?

Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head dominance, and league positions, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: Crusaders 10%, draw 22%, Coleraine 68%. The bookmakers' average implied probabilities gave Coleraine around 63%, but their flawless away record and Crusaders' slump justify an upward adjustment. Coleraine are the overwhelming favorites to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Coleraine as strong favorites. The best available odds for a Coleraine win are as short as 1.25, with other books offering 1.58 or 1.62. The draw is priced between 2.62 and 5.25, while a Crusaders home win can be backed at odds ranging from 7.50 to 8.50. Based on the stats, the prediction is a Coleraine victory. Their superior form, head-to-head record, and league position make any other outcome a major surprise.