Colomba - Deportivo Tacana prediction 8 October 2026

The Colomba vs Deportivo Tacana prediction for this Segunda Division fixture on October 8, 2026, favors the away side. Deportivo Tacana has a 45% win probability, while Colomba sits at 25% and the draw at 30%. The match kicks off at 19:00 local time in Guatemala.

Team Form

Colomba's last five matches have produced a mixed bag of results: a win, a loss, a win, a loss, and a draw (W-L-W-L-D). Their sequence started with a 0-0 draw against Deportivo Chiantla on March 4, followed by a 0-1 home loss to Sija on March 11, a 4-0 thrashing of El Mazateco on March 22, a 4-1 defeat at America Salcaja, and finally a 3-1 home victory over Ocos FC on September 27, 2026. In their last three home matches, Colomba scored seven goals but also conceded five, highlighting both their offensive potential and defensive vulnerabilities.

Deportivo Tacana are winless in their last five outings, recording three consecutive draws followed by two defeats (D-D-D-L-L). The streak began with a 1-0 loss at Sija on January 21, then a 2-0 defeat at Deportivo San Sebastian on February 8. They then drew three in a row: 1-1 at Deportivo Amatitlan on April 19, 1-1 at Sija on August 23, and 0-0 at America Salcaja on October 4, 2026. Their attack has been blunt, scoring only two goals in those five matches, while their defense kept two clean sheets. The team's inability to turn draws into wins is a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

This will be the first ever meeting between Colomba and Deportivo Tacana. No previous head-to-head data exists, so the match prediction relies solely on current form and odds.

Win Probability: Colomba or Deportivo Tacana?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, and home advantage, we assign the following win probabilities:

• Colomba: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• Deportivo Tacana: 45%

The bookmakers' odds imply a roughly 49% chance for an away win, but Deportivo Tacana's poor form—no wins in five—forces a slight downgrade. Colomba's home advantage and their recent 3-1 win give them a 25% shot. The draw probability is elevated at 30% because Deportivo Tacana have drawn three of their last five, and Colomba have also shared points once in that span. Overall, Deportivo Tacana is the favorite, but the match is not a foregone conclusion.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are 5.00 for a Colomba win, 3.70 for the draw, and 2.05 for a Deportivo Tacana victory. These odds come from different bookmakers, with the away side being the clear favorite in the market. The odds imply that Deportivo Tacana has a higher probability of winning, which aligns with our calculated 45% chance.

Our Colomba vs Deportivo Tacana prediction is an away win, but the draw is a very realistic outcome. For betting tips, considering the low-scoring trends of both teams—especially Deportivo Tacana's recent struggles in front of goal—a bet on under 2.5 goals or a draw could offer value. However, based on the stats, Deportivo Tacana is the most likely winner.