Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC - Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC prediction 25 October 2026

Who will win Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC? The match kicks off on June 14, 2026 at 11:00 UTC in the Vietnam Cup. Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC enters this fixture as the favourite with a 45% probability, despite Cong An’s resilient recent form. We break down the stats, form, head‑to‑head, and the ultimate win chances.

Team Form

Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC came into this fixture unbeaten in their last four outings (W, D, W, D). That run included a strong away win at Nam Dinh and a tight draw at Ha Noi T&T, as well as a home victory over TDCS Dong Thap and a home stalemate against The Cong Viettel FC. This solid defensive shape makes them hard to beat.

Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC, meanwhile, had won three of their last four matches before this clash. They dispatched The Cong Viettel FC and Hong Linh Ha Tinh convincingly at home and also won at Thanh Hoa. However, a shock home loss to Bong da Hue earlier in the sequence exposed some vulnerability. At home, Phu Dong have been generally strong, scoring freely in two of their last three home games.

Head‑to‑Head Record

In three previous meetings between these sides the record was perfectly balanced – 1 home win, 1 away win, and 2 draws. Two of those encounters ended level (0‑0 and 1‑1), while Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC won the other 4‑3 when visiting Cong An. That suggests tight, low‑margin contests with a slight tilt towards the away team on the day.

League Table Positions

Unfortunately, exact league table positions and points are not included in the dataset for this Cup fixture. In knockout cup football, often recent match form and head‑to‑head provide stronger predictive signals than league standing alone.

Win Probability: Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC or Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC?

Taking into account pre‑match form, head‑to‑head history, and the home advantage of Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC win – 45%
• Draw – 30%
• Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC win – 25%

Phu Dong’s superior home firepower and three wins in four matches give them the edge, but Cong An’s unbeaten run and two away draws in the same period keep the draw an attractive outcome. Cong An’s win chance is the smallest, reflecting the challenge of playing away against an opponent that has beaten them recently in head‑to‑head.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are provided for this match in the source data. Without bookmaker lines, the prediction relies on the statistical analysis above. The numbers point to Phu Dong Ninh Binh FC as the most probable winner, though the draw remains a real possibility. Backing a Phu Dong win or the “draw no bet” market on the home side would align with the data; cautious bettors may prefer the double chance on a home win or draw.