Congleton Town - Shifnal Town prediction 29 September 2026

Looking for a Congleton Town vs Shifnal Town prediction? This Northern Division One match takes place on Sep 29, 2026, at 19:45. Based on the latest odds and team form, Shifnal Town enters as a slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Congleton Town has a 25% chance and the draw is at 35%.

Team Form

Congleton Town

Congleton Town come into this match in poor form, with four defeats in their last five outings (L, L, W, L, L). On Sep 26, they lost 3-1 away to Witton Albion. That followed a 0-1 home loss to Bootle on Sep 22. Their only recent victory was a 4-1 home win over Atherton Collieries in the FA Trophy on Aug 29. Prior to that, they lost 1-0 at Stalybridge Celtic on Aug 18 and 4-1 at Bury on Apr 3. In these five matches, they scored 6 goals and conceded 10, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. At home, they have won one and lost one of their last two, but the overall trend is negative.

Shifnal Town

Shifnal Town's recent record shows three wins and two losses in their last five (L, W, L, W, W). They fell 2-1 at Alfreton Town in the FA Trophy on Sep 26, but responded with a 3-2 home win over Nantwich Town on Sep 23. A heavy 4-1 home defeat to Chasetown on Sep 16 was a setback, but they bounced back with a 4-0 away demolition of Stafford Rangers on Aug 25 and a 4-2 home win against Lichfield City on Aug 12. They have netted 13 goals in these five games, though they also conceded 10. Their away form includes that impressive 4-0 win, showing they can be dangerous on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Congleton Town and Shifnal Town in our database, so the head-to-head record offers no insight into this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the Northern Division One standings, Shifnal Town sits 12th with 55 points from 41 matches (15 wins, 10 draws, 16 losses). Congleton Town is not among the top 12 teams, indicating they are lower in the table. This gives Shifnal Town a clear advantage in terms of league performance this season.

Win Probability: Congleton Town or Shifnal Town?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows:

• Congleton Town win: 25%
• Draw: 35%
• Shifnal Town win: 40%

The bookmakers' odds (home 3.10, draw 2.40, away 2.60) imply a tight contest, with the draw as the most likely single outcome after removing the margin. However, Shifnal Town's superior recent form (three wins in five) and higher league position (12th vs. unranked Congleton Town) tilt the balance in their favor. Congleton Town's poor run of four losses in five, including two home defeats, reduces the impact of home advantage. Therefore, Shifnal Town has the highest chance of winning, but a draw remains a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The current odds for this match are: Congleton Town win at 3.10, draw at 2.40, and Shifnal Town win at 2.60. Bookmakers see the draw as the most probable result, followed by an away win. Based on the stats, Shifnal Town appears the more likely winner, but given Congleton Town's struggles, a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: Shifnal Town to win or draw, with a 40% probability for the away side.