St Ives Town - Corby Town prediction 21 September 2026

St Ives Town vs Corby Town prediction: the England Northern Division One match is scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 18:45. The draw is the highest single-outcome probability at 37%, while Corby Town has a 33% chance and St Ives Town has a 30% chance to win.

Team Form

St Ives Town's last five results in all competitions are L-W-D-D-L. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 defeat at Fakenham Town in the FA Cup on Aug 25, 2026. On Aug 10, 2026, they won 1-0 at home against Sutton Coldfield Town in Northern Division One. Their last three spring results were a 0-0 draw with Stratford Town, a 2-2 draw at Worcester City, and a 0-2 home loss to Bromsgrove Sporting. Overall, St Ives Town have one win, two draws and two defeats in that five-match sample.

Corby Town's last five results are W-D-L-D-W. They won 2-1 at home against Bedworth United on Sep 9, 2026 and drew 3-3 at Loughborough University on Sep 5, 2026. Earlier results include a 1-3 home loss to Boston Town, a 1-1 draw with Racing Club Warwick, and a 1-0 home win over Shepshed Dynamo. Corby Town have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last five.

Head-to-Head Record

The available head-to-head record contains one match: on Jul 14, 2025, Corby Town won 2-0 at St Ives Town in Friendly Clubs. That gives St Ives Town 0 wins, 0 draws and Corby Town 1 win in the H2H sample.

League Table Positions

The Northern Division One standings data includes the top 12 clubs, but neither St Ives Town nor Corby Town appears in those positions. Therefore, no exact table points or gap between the two sides can be quoted from the supplied stats.

Win Probability: St Ives Town or Corby Town?

Using the three sets of pre-match 1X2 odds as the base, the inverse odds were normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. The baseline before adjustments was St Ives Town 32.5%, draw 37.5%, and Corby Town 30.0%. After factoring in Corby Town's stronger recent form, the only H2H win for Corby Town, and St Ives Town's home advantage, the final win probabilities are:

• St Ives Town win: 30%
• Draw: 37%
• Corby Town win: 33%

Those numbers add up to 100%. So who will win St Ives Town vs Corby Town? Between the two teams, Corby Town is slightly more likely to win than St Ives Town, but the draw is the most likely single match outcome.

St Ives Town vs Corby Town Prediction and Odds

Bookmakers in the supplied data list St Ives Town from 2.70 to 2.80, the draw between 2.38 and 2.40, and Corby Town from 2.88 to 3.10. For betting tips, the short draw price is consistent with the 37% draw probability.

Final St Ives Town vs Corby Town prediction: based on the stats, this should be a tight, low-scoring Northern Division One match. The draw is the safest single outcome at 37%, while Corby Town at 33% offers slightly more win-only chance than St Ives Town at 30%.