Fluminense RJ - Coritiba PR prediction 9 October 2026
Fluminense RJ
Coritiba PRChapecoense SCFluminense RJPalmeiras SPFluminense RJFluminense RJSantos SPFluminense RJPalmeiras SPFlamengo RJFluminense RJFluminense RJCoritiba PRCorinthians SPFluminense RJCA Platense Buenos AiresFluminense RJAtletico Mineiro MGFluminense RJFluminense RJCA Platense Buenos AiresFluminense RJVasco da Gama RJAtletico Paranaense PRFluminense RJFluminense RJRemo PAIndependiente RivadaviaFluminense RJFluminense RJPalmeiras SPCoritiba PRGremio RSAtletico Mineiro MGCoritiba PRCoritiba PRBotafogo RJFluminense RJCoritiba PRVasco da Gama RJCoritiba PRCoritiba PRAtletico Paranaense PRCoritiba PRMirassol SPRemo PACoritiba PRCoritiba PRCorinthians SPSao Paulo SPCoritiba PRCoritiba PRChapecoense SCCoritiba PRCruzeiro MGRed Bull Bragantino SPCoritiba PRCoritiba PRPalmeiras SPFlamengo RJCoritiba PR- 24'EventJacy
- 30'EventJ. Savarino
- 49'EventJ. Savarino
- 62'EventBreno Lopes
- 62'EventPedro Rocha
- 62'EventPH Ganso
- 65'EventJ. Savarino
- 74'EventN. Fonseca
- 74'EventF. Bustos
- 79'EventHรฉrcules
- 79'EventGuga
- 79'EventJ. Savarino
Fluminense RJCoritiba PRCoritiba PRFluminense RJFluminense RJCoritiba PRCoritiba PRFluminense RJFluminense RJCoritiba PRCoritiba PRFluminense RJCoritiba PRFluminense RJFluminense RJCoritiba PRFluminense RJCoritiba PRFluminense RJCoritiba PRCoritiba PRFluminense RJCoritiba PRFluminense RJ| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras SP | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 |
| 2 |  Flamengo RJ | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61:25 | +36 | 67 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro MG | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense PR | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico Mineiro MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia BA | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 |
| 8 |  Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo SP | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  Red Bull Bragantino SP | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo RJ | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba PR | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 38:49 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |  Mirassol SP | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional RS | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians SP | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 |
| 18 |  Gremio RS | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo PA | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 |
Fluminense RJ vs Coritiba PR Prediction (Oct 9)
The Fluminense RJ vs Coritiba PR prediction for October 9, 2026, points to a home victory in this Serie A clash at Estรกdio Jornalista Mรกrio Filho. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Fluminense RJ has a 51% chance of winning, while Coritiba PR sits at just 13%.
Team Form
Fluminense RJ come into this match with a mixed recent run: W, L, L, W, W in their last five outings. They secured a 3-1 away win at Corinthians SP, lost 2-1 at CA Platense Buenos Aires in the Copa Libertadores, fell 3-1 at Atletico Mineiro MG, then bounced back with a 2-0 home win over Platense and a 1-0 home victory against Vasco da Gama RJ. The home form is particularly strong, with two clean-sheet wins at the Maracanรฃ.
Coritiba PR's last five results read L, D, L, W, W. A heavy 5-0 defeat at Vasco da Gama RJ was followed by a 3-3 home draw with Atletico Paranaense PR, a 1-2 home loss to Mirassol SP, a 3-2 away win at Remo PA, and a 2-1 home win over Corinthians SP. Away from home, they have been inconsistent, conceding five in one game but also scoring three in another.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall H2H record heavily favours Fluminense RJ: 5 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 wins for Coritiba PR. The most recent meeting, on April 5, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw at Coritiba. Before that, Fluminense won 2-1 at home in November 2023, while Coritiba took a 2-0 home win in July 2023. The last encounter at this venue saw Fluminense thrash Coritiba 5-2 in August 2022.
League Table Positions
Fluminense RJ sit 4th in the Serie A overall standings with 48 points from 28 matches (13 wins, 9 draws, 6 losses). At home, they are even more formidable โ 2nd in the home table with 33 points from 14 games (10 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). Coritiba PR are 9th overall with 38 points (10 wins, 8 draws, 10 losses) and rank 6th in the away table with 19 points from 14 road trips (5 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses). The 10-point gap and home advantage clearly point toward the hosts.
Win Probability: Fluminense RJ or Coritiba PR?
After normalising the average bookmaker odds to remove the margin, the true probabilities are: Fluminense RJ win โ 51%, draw โ 36%, Coritiba PR win โ 13%. These numbers reflect the strong home form (10-3-1), the dominant H2H record (5 wins in 11 meetings), and the league position gap. Fluminense RJ are the clear favourites, but the draw probability is also significant, suggesting a tight contest is possible.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Fluminense RJ as the favourite: home win odds range from 1.48 to 1.85, the draw is priced between 2.22 and 2.42, and an away win for Coritiba PR sits at 5.25 to 7.20. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Fluminense RJ victory, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: Fluminense RJ to win, with a 51% probability.
Fluminense RJ vs Coritiba PR โ FAQ
- Who will win Fluminense RJ vs Coritiba PR?
- Fluminense RJ are the favourites with a 51% win probability. The draw is at 36%, and Coritiba PR have only a 13% chance. Home advantage and the H2H record strongly support a Fluminense victory.
- What is the win probability for Fluminense RJ?
- Fluminense RJ have a 51% chance of winning, based on normalised bookmaker odds and adjusted for their excellent home form (10 wins in 14 home games) and a 5-2-4 head-to-head edge over Coritiba.
- When is the Fluminense RJ vs Coritiba PR match?
- The match kicks off on October 9, 2026, at 01:30 (local time, +01:00). It is a Serie A fixture, played at Estรกdio Jornalista Mรกrio Filho in Rio de Janeiro.
- What are the odds for Fluminense RJ vs Coritiba PR?
- The 1X2 odds vary across bookmakers: a Fluminense RJ home win is priced between 1.48 and 1.85, the draw between 2.22 and 2.42, and a Coritiba PR away win between 5.25 and 7.20.