Longford Town - Cork City prediction 26 September 2026

The Longford Town vs Cork City prediction for September 26, 2026, points to an away win in this Ireland Republic First Division clash. Bookmakers and recent form make Cork City the clear favorite, with a win probability of 51%, while Longford Town have a 24% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Longford Town come into this match with mixed results: two wins, two defeats, and a draw in their last five outings. They beat Finn Harps 1-0 away and Bray Wanderers 4-2 at home, but lost 0-2 to Treaty United and 0-1 to Kerry, and drew 2-2 at Cobh Ramblers. Cork City’s recent form is stronger, with two wins, two draws, and one loss. They thrashed UC Dublin 5-1 at home, beat Wexford FC 2-0, drew 1-1 at Bray Wanderers and 2-2 at Treaty United, and suffered a 2-3 home loss to Cobh Ramblers.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Cork City. In the last five meetings, Cork City won three times, Longford Town won once, and there was one draw. The most recent match, on July 10, 2026, saw Longford Town win 4-3 away at Cork City. Before that, Cork City won 2-0 at Longford Town (May 2026), 2-1 at home (March 2026), 2-0 at Longford Town (March 2024), and drew 2-2 at Cork City (September 2022). Overall, across all recorded H2H matches, Cork City have 8 wins, Longford Town 1 win, and 5 draws.

League Table Positions

Cork City sit top of the First Division with 71 points from 32 matches (22 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses). They have scored 69 goals and conceded 30. Longford Town are 5th with 44 points (12 wins, 8 draws, 12 losses), scoring 42 and conceding 41. At home, Longford Town have a decent record: 8 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses, while Cork City’s away form is excellent with 8 wins, 5 draws, and only 2 losses in 15 away games.

Win Probability: Longford Town or Cork City?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, the win probabilities are: Longford Town 24%, Draw 25%, Cork City 51%. Cork City’s dominant league position and strong away form give them the edge, despite Longford Town’s home advantage. The draw probability is also significant, reflecting the 5 draws in 14 H2H encounters.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for the match vary, with the best available prices around 3.80 for a Longford Town win, 3.95 for the draw, and 1.87 for a Cork City victory. These odds imply a clear away favorite. Based on the stats, Cork City are the more likely winners, but Longford Town’s recent H2H win shows they can cause an upset. Our Longford Town vs Cork City prediction is an away win, but the draw is a realistic outcome.