Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT prediction 9 October 2026
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Correcaminos UATAlebrijes de Oaxaca
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros UDGAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATPiratas VeracruzAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaAtletico La PazCancun FCAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaAlacranes de DurangoAtletico MoreliaAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaCD TapatioTampico MaderoAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaCD Tepatitlan de MorelosTlaxcala FCAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaDorados de SinaloaVenados FCAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATAlebrijes de OaxacaTlaxcala FCCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATDorados de SinaloaAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATCruz Azul HidalgoCorrecaminos UATTampico MaderoAtletico La PazCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATCancun FCPiratas VeracruzCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATAlacranes de DurangoAtletico MoreliaCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATCD TapatioLeones Negros UDGCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATCD Tepatitlan de MorelosMineros de ZacatecasCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATChivas GuadalajaraAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATAlebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATAlebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UATCorrecaminos UATAlebrijes de Oaxaca| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico La Paz | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 27 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 31:19 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 |  Atletico Morelia | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25:16 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Piratas Veracruz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 |  Venados FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 |  Cancun FC | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 22 |
| 7 |  Durango | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:14 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 |  Tlaxcala FC | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 10 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 18 |
| 11 |  CD Tapatio | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24:27 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Correcaminos UAT | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 |  Tampico Madero | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:23 | -8 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 14 |
| 16 |  CD Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10:41 | -31 | 7 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT Prediction (Oct 9)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT prediction for the Liga de Expansion MX match on Oct 9 at 02:00. Based on our analysis, Correcaminos UAT has a 40% win probability, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca has 25% and the draw stands at 35%.
Team Form
Alebrijes de Oaxaca are struggling, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, L, W, L). They suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat at Piratas Veracruz, a 1-3 home loss to Atletico La Paz, and a 0-3 loss at Cancun FC. Their only recent win was a 1-0 home victory over Alacranes de Durango.
Correcaminos UAT have been inconsistent, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five (D, W, L, D, L). They drew 0-0 at home with Cruz Azul Hidalgo, beat Tampico Madero 1-0, but lost 1-3 at Atletico La Paz and 1-4 at Piratas Veracruz.
Head-to-Head Record
In the overall head-to-head, Alebrijes de Oaxaca lead with 5 wins to Correcaminos UAT's 3, with 2 draws. The last five meetings show a balanced rivalry: Alebrijes won the most recent clash 3-1 away on Apr 18, 2026, while Correcaminos won 1-0 away in March 2025. A 1-1 draw in November 2025 and a historic 7-0 home win for Correcaminos in August 2023 highlight the unpredictable nature of this fixture.
League Table Positions
Correcaminos UAT sit 9th in the Liga de Expansion MX overall standings with 16 points from 11 games (4 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses, goals 19:18). Alebrijes de Oaxaca are outside the top 12, indicating a lower position and a tougher season. In away form, Correcaminos rank 5th with 7 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), showing they can be competitive on the road.
Win Probability: Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Correcaminos UAT?
After analyzing the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, we assign the following win probabilities: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 25%, draw 35%, Correcaminos UAT 40%. The odds implied a close match, but Alebrijes' poor form (four losses in five) and lower table position reduce their chances. Correcaminos UAT's slightly better away record and higher league rank give them the edge, though a draw remains a very likely outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer these pre-match odds: Alebrijes de Oaxaca win at 2.62, draw at 2.30, Correcaminos UAT win at 2.88. The low draw odds reflect the expectation of a tight contest. Based on the stats, Correcaminos UAT appears to have a slight advantage, but the draw is a strong possibility. Our prediction leans towards an away win or a draw, with Correcaminos UAT more likely to take all three points.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT โ FAQ
- Who will win Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT?
- Correcaminos UAT have a 40% chance of winning, compared to 25% for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 35% for a draw. Correcaminos' higher league position and better recent away form give them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Correcaminos UAT?
- Correcaminos UAT have a 40% win probability. This is based on their 9th-place standing, Alebrijes de Oaxaca's poor form, and the balanced head-to-head record.
- When is the Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT match?
- The match is on Oct 9 at 02:00 (local time +01:00) in the Liga de Expansion MX, Mexico.
- What are the odds for Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Correcaminos UAT?
- The pre-match odds are: Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2.62, draw 2.30, Correcaminos UAT 2.88. The draw is priced as the most likely single outcome by bookmakers.