Chingale de Tete - Costa do Sol prediction 16 September 2026
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Looking for a Chingale de Tete vs Costa do Sol prediction? The Mocambola match on Sep 16, 2026, at 12:45 sees Costa do Sol as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while the draw is the most likely single outcome at 45%. Chingale de Tete has just a 15% chance of winning at home.
Team Form
Chingale de Tete are in poor shape. Their last five matches all ended without a win: four losses and one draw. They lost 2-1 to Black Bulls, 1-0 to Ferroviario Maputo, 1-0 to Ferroviario Lichinga, and 1-0 to Costa do Sol, with a 0-0 draw at Maxaquene. They have scored just 1 goal in those 5 games.
Costa do Sol have been more consistent. Their last five results: a 1-0 home win over Liga Desportiva De Sofala, a 2-1 home loss to Ferroviario Beira, a 3-0 home win over Black Bulls, a 1-0 away win at Ferroviario Maputo, and a 1-0 away loss to Baia de Pemba. Thatโs three wins and two losses, showing they can compete both at home and on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The last three meetings between these sides have been tight. Costa do Sol won once (1-0 on Jun 16, 2026), and the other two matches ended in goalless draws (Oct 31, 2025, and Jul 26, 2025). Chingale de Tete have yet to beat Costa do Sol, with a record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss.
Win Probability: Chingale de Tete or Costa do Sol?
Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:
- Chingale de Tete win: 15%
- Draw: 45%
- Costa do Sol win: 40%
Costa do Solโs superior form and unbeaten H2H record give them the edge, but the high draw probability reflects how evenly matched these teams have been historically. Chingale de Teteโs home advantage is offset by their terrible recent run.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see a draw as the most likely result. The best odds available are: home win 4.80, draw 1.85, away win 2.95. The average odds across three bookmakers are 4.62 for a home win, 1.81 for a draw, and 2.89 for an away win.
Our Chingale de Tete vs Costa do Sol prediction: Costa do Sol are the more probable winner, but a draw cannot be ruled out. Based on the stats, the value might lie in backing Costa do Sol to win or the draw no bet. Chingale de Teteโs lack of goals makes a low-scoring affair likely.
Chingale de Tete vs Costa do Sol โ FAQ
- Who will win Chingale de Tete vs Costa do Sol?
- Costa do Sol has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 45%, and Chingale de Tete has a 15% chance. Costa do Sol is the more likely winner based on form and head-to-head record, but a draw is the single most probable outcome.
- What is the win probability for Costa do Sol?
- Costa do Sol has a 40% chance to win. This is based on their better recent form (3 wins in 5) and an unbeaten head-to-head record against Chingale de Tete, who have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
- When is the Chingale de Tete vs Costa do Sol match?
- The match is on Sep 16, 2026, at 12:45. It is a Mocambola fixture, the top football league in Mozambique.
- What are the odds for Chingale de Tete vs Costa do Sol?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 4.40โ4.80 for a Chingale de Tete win, 1.78โ1.85 for a draw, and 2.82โ2.95 for a Costa do Sol win. The draw is the shortest price, reflecting its high probability.
- What is the head-to-head record between Chingale de Tete and Costa do Sol?
- In 3 previous meetings, Costa do Sol won 1 match, and 2 ended in draws. Chingale de Tete have never beaten Costa do Sol. The last match on Jun 16, 2026, ended 1-0 to Costa do Sol.