Cote d'Ivoire - Ghana prediction 24 September 2026

The Cote d'Ivoire vs Ghana prediction for September 24, 2026, points to a home victory in this African Cup of Nations clash. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Cote d'Ivoire enters as the favorite with a calculated 55% win probability. The match kicks off at 20:00 in a crucial group-stage encounter.

Team Form

Cote d'Ivoire's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five outings (W, W, L, W, L). They secured notable victories against Curacao (2-0), Ecuador (1-0), and France (2-1), but fell to Norway (1-2) and Germany (1-2). Ghana's last five results are less convincing, with one win, two draws, and two losses (D, W, D, L, L). Their sole victory came against Panama (1-0), while they drew with England (0-0) and Wales (1-1), and lost to Colombia (0-1) and Croatia (1-2).

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two rivals is tight. In their last two meetings, Ghana has one win and there has been one draw. The most recent clash was a 0-0 draw in a Friendly International on June 12, 2021. Prior to that, Ghana defeated Cote d'Ivoire 3-1 in the African Cup of Nations on October 8, 2019. Cote d'Ivoire has yet to record a victory in this fixture's recent history.

League Table Positions

Both teams are competing in the African Cup of Nations. While specific points and table gaps are not available in the current data, this match represents a critical group-stage battle between two of Africa's traditional powerhouses, where a win is vital for qualification hopes.

Win Probability: Cote d'Ivoire or Ghana?

The calculated win probabilities for this match are: Cote d'Ivoire win 55%, draw 25%, Ghana win 20%. This assessment is derived from the available odds, which heavily favor the home side, and is adjusted for Cote d'Ivoire's superior recent form (three wins in five) compared to Ghana's single win in the same period. The home advantage further solidifies Cote d'Ivoire's position as the more likely winner, though Ghana's unbeaten head-to-head record in the last two meetings introduces a note of caution.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Cote d'Ivoire as the clear favorite. The 1X2 odds range from a low of 1.53 to a high of 1.62 for a home win. The draw is priced between 1.98 and 3.70, while an away win for Ghana offers high odds from 4.95 to 6.88. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable match outcome, but the value in the head-to-head record suggests a tight contest is likely.