Our Scotland U19 Women vs Croatia U19 Women prediction for this Friendly International Women clash on October 8, 2026, gives Scotland a commanding 78% win probability. The home side are hot favorites according to the betting odds and our stats-based model, while Croatia U19 Women face an uphill battle at 14:30 BST.
Scotland U19 Women enter this friendly with four wins from their last five matches (W4 L1). The only recent blemish was a 1-2 home loss to Norway U19 Women on April 16, 2026. Before that, they thrashed North Macedonia U19 Women 9-0, beat Austria U19 Women 2-1 away, and edged Belgium U19 Women 2-1 in a March friendly. Their most recent outing against Croatia was a 4-1 away victory in December 2025 โ a result that heavily influences this prediction.
Croatia U19 Womenโs form is mixed: three wins and two losses (W3 L2). They beat Czech Republic U19 Women 1-0 away on April 17, then demolished Georgia U19 Women 4-0 and Azerbaijan U19 Women 6-0 earlier that month. However, both defeats came against strong European sides โ a 1-4 loss to this same Scotland team and a 0-4 defeat to Norway U19 Women.
These nations have met only twice at U19 womenโs level, and Scotland U19 Women remain unbeaten:
Scotland have one win and one draw in the H2H record, with Croatia yet to register a victory. The last meeting โ just ten months ago โ saw Scotland cruise to a 4-1 away win, which underpins their strong favorite status here.
We calculate win probabilities by taking the inverse of the bookmakersโ 1X2 odds, removing the margin, and then adjusting for team form and head-to-head data. Here is the outcome for this match:
Scotlandโs strong home advantage, superior recent form (four wins in five), and a dominant 4-1 H2H victory in their last meeting all justify the high probability. Croatiaโs chances are limited to a defensive upset, but the odds and the underlying numbers firmly point to a home win.
Bookmakers have Scotland U19 Women as the clear favorite with odds of 1.18 for a home victory. The draw is priced at 6.25, while an Croatia U19 Women away win is a long 9.50. These odds reflect the gulf in recent quality between the two sides.
Our match prediction aligns with the betting market: Scotland U19 Women are expected to control the game and secure a comfortable win. Betting tips based on the stats might favor a Scotland win in a low-scoring contest, but the safest angle is the home win outcome.