FC Cincinnati II - Crown prediction 20 September 2026

The FC Cincinnati II vs Crown prediction points to a clear away favorite for this MLS Next Pro clash on Sep 20 at 18:00. Based on the stats, Crown has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and FC Cincinnati II has a 20% chance. Crown's superior league position and dominant head-to-head record make them the team most likely to take all three points.

Team Form

FC Cincinnati II come into this match with a poor run of results. Their last five matches show one draw, one win, and three losses (D, L, L, W, L). They have conceded 12 goals in these five games, including a 5-0 defeat to NYC New York City II on Aug 19. The only win in this period was a 3-1 away victory at Carolina Core FC on Aug 22.

Crown's recent form is more balanced but still inconsistent. Their last five results are a draw, two wins, and two losses (D, W, L, W, L). They scored 11 goals in these matches, with a notable 4-0 home win against Chicago Fire II on Sep 04. However, they also suffered a 2-0 home loss to Connecticut United on Aug 19.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Crown. In four previous meetings, Crown has won three times, while FC Cincinnati II has won once, with no draws. The most recent match on Aug 11, 2025, ended in a 4-3 home win for FC Cincinnati II. Before that, Crown won three straight: 2-0 at home on May 25, 2025, 2-1 away on Oct 20, 2024, and 1-0 away on Jul 29, 2023. Crown has outscored FC Cincinnati II 8-5 across these four matches.

League Table Positions

Crown sits 3rd in the MLS Next Pro overall standings with 57 points from 27 matches (19 wins, 0 draws, 8 losses). They have scored 65 goals and conceded 38. FC Cincinnati II is not in the top 12 of the overall table, indicating a much lower position. Crown's away record is also strong: 3rd in the league with 27 points from 13 away games (9 wins, 4 losses).

Win Probability: FC Cincinnati II or Crown?

Based on the available data, the calculated win probabilities are: FC Cincinnati II win – 20%, Draw – 20%, Crown win – 60%. This assessment uses the head-to-head record (Crown winning 3 of 4), the significant gap in league table positions, and recent form. Crown's strong away form (9 wins in 13) against a struggling FC Cincinnati II side gives the visitors a clear edge. The 20% draw probability reflects the fact that none of the four previous meetings ended level, but both teams have had a draw in their last five matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Crown as the favorite. Our FC Cincinnati II vs Crown prediction is an away win for Crown. The head-to-head dominance, the 37-point gap in the standings, and FC Cincinnati II's defensive struggles all point to Crown securing a victory.