Montpelier Dublin - Crumlin United prediction 2 October 2026

Team Form

Montpelier Dublin's previous five results: draw 1-1 vs Malahide Utd (Sep 11), win 1-0 vs Kilbarrack United (Sep 4), loss 2-5 at Wayside Celtic (Sep 1), win 3-2 vs Glebe North (Aug 21), and a 2-0 loss at Tolka Rovers (Aug 18). That's two wins, one draw, two defeats. At home they are unbeaten in three following that away loss at Tolka, picking up two wins and a draw. The attack managed multiple goals in games against Glebe North (3) and Malahide Utd (1), but the heavy away defeat to Wayside Celtic exposed defensive issues.

Crumlin United's last five: a 1-4 home loss vs Wayside Celtic (Sep 11), 1-1 draw at Killester Donnycarney FC (Sep 6), a 3-0 away win at Kilbarrack United (Aug 21), 2-0 home win vs Saint Francis (Aug 18), and a 4-0 away cup loss at SD Galway (Jul 17) in the FAI Cup. Excluding the cup tie, Crumlin’s league form shows two wins, a draw, and one loss, with an impressive 3-0 victory on the road. Defensively, they kept two clean sheets in that league run before conceding four to Wayside Celtic.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no historical data for Montpelier Dublin vs Crumlin United meetings. According to available records, home wins, draws and away wins all stand at zero. This will be the first head-to-head encounter between the two teams in the Leinster Senior League.

Win Probability: Montpelier Dublin or Crumlin United?

Using the latest match odds (home 2.20, draw 3.80, away 2.50) and adjusting for recent form, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Montpelier Dublin win: 41%
• Draw: 24%
• Crumlin United win: 35%

The bookmaker market implies a slight edge for the home side, and Montpelier Dublin’s solid home form (two wins and a draw in last three at home) supports that 41% chance. Crumlin United’s 35% keeps the match open, but a draw at 24% is a significant possibility given both teams’ inconsistent streaks.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds are: Montpelier Dublin win 2.20, draw 3.80, Crumlin United win 2.50. The home team is the favorite, but only by a narrow margin. Our Montpelier Dublin vs Crumlin United prediction, based on the stats, is that a home win is the most likely result, but the probabilities show a balanced fixture. Betting tips might consider a home win or a double chance on the hosts, while the draw odds offer value at 24% probability. Who will win? The numbers give Montpelier Dublin a 41% edge, so bookmakers and our model both lean toward the home side.