Cruz Azul Women - Chivas Guadalajara Women prediction 26 September 2026

The Cruz Azul Women vs Chivas Guadalajara Women prediction for September 26, 2026, points to a tight Liga MX Women clash with no clear favorite. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Cruz Azul Women has a 35% chance of winning, a draw is at 35%, and Chivas Guadalajara Women has a 30% probability. The match kicks off at 02:00 local time.

Team Form

Cruz Azul Women enter this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five outings show three wins and two defeats: a 3-2 home victory over Unam Pumas Women, a 2-0 away win at Queretaro Women, a 1-0 loss at Juarez Women, a heavy 3-0 home defeat to Tigres UANL Women, and a 3-1 home success against Atlante FC Women. The team has scored 8 goals in that spell but also conceded 7, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Chivas Guadalajara Women have also been inconsistent, recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches. They beat Tijuana Women 2-0 away, lost 3-2 at home to Monterrey Women, thrashed Atlas Women 4-0 on the road, fell 2-0 at home to Unam Pumas Women, and lost 3-1 at Pachuca Women. With 9 goals scored and 8 conceded, their attacking output is slightly higher, but defensive lapses remain a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head history between these sides is remarkably balanced. All three previous meetings in the Liga MX Women have ended in draws. The most recent encounter on January 10, 2026, finished 0-0. Before that, on August 9, 2025, Chivas Guadalajara Women and Cruz Azul Women played out a 1-1 stalemate, and on January 21, 2025, the score was again 1-1. This pattern suggests another close contest is likely.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga MX Women standings, Chivas Guadalajara Women sit 5th with 15 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses), while Cruz Azul Women are 10th with 12 points from 7 games (4 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). However, the home/away splits tell a different story. Cruz Azul Women have been strong at home, ranking 6th with 9 points from 4 home fixtures (3 wins, 1 loss). Chivas Guadalajara Women are equally impressive on the road, placed 3rd in the away table with 9 points from 4 away matches (3 wins, 1 loss). This parity makes the match difficult to call.

Win Probability: Cruz Azul or Chivas?

After evaluating all available data—team form, head-to-head record, league positions, and home/away strength—we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• Cruz Azul Women win: 35%
• Draw: 35%
• Chivas Guadalajara Women win: 30%

The high draw probability reflects the all-draw head-to-head history and the similar strength both teams have shown in their respective home and away contexts. Cruz Azul Women’s home advantage gives them a marginal edge, but Chivas Guadalajara Women’s slightly better overall league position and away form keep the contest evenly poised. No odds were available in the data to adjust these estimates, so they are based purely on performance indicators.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not provided in the current data set. Based on the stats, the match is expected to be extremely close. The most probable single outcome is a draw, but Cruz Azul Women, playing at home, hold a fractional advantage. Our Cruz Azul Women vs Chivas Guadalajara Women prediction is a low-scoring draw, consistent with the 0-0 and 1-1 results seen in previous meetings. Bettors should consider the draw as a strong possibility, while the home win offers slightly better value than the away win.