Red Bull Bragantino SP - Cruzeiro MG prediction 13 October 2026

The Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Cruzeiro MG prediction for October 13, 2026, points to an away win for Cruzeiro MG in Brazil Serie A. The match kicks off at 01:00 at Estádio Cícero de Souza Marques in Bragança Paulista. Based on the stats, Cruzeiro MG has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Red Bull Bragantino SP has a 25% chance.

Team Form

Red Bull Bragantino SP are struggling for consistency. Their last five Serie A results are D, L, L, D, L. They drew 1–1 at home with Mirassol SP on October 7, lost 1–0 away to Atletico Mineiro MG on October 3, lost 2–1 away to Flamengo RJ on September 20, drew 1–1 away to Botafogo RJ on September 13, and lost 3–2 at home to Bahia BA on September 5.

Cruzeiro MG are in much better shape. Their last five results are W, W, L, W, L. They beat Sao Paulo SP 2–0 at home on October 8, won 3–1 away to Vitoria BA on September 20, lost 2–1 away to Santos SP on September 13, beat Atletico Paranaense PR 3–1 at home on September 6, and lost 2–1 away to Atletico Mineiro MG in the Cup on September 2.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, Cruzeiro MG lead the head-to-head with 4 wins, while Red Bull Bragantino SP have 1 win and there have been 3 draws overall in the broader record. The most recent Serie A match on April 12, 2026, ended 2–1 to Cruzeiro MG at home. On September 22, 2025, Cruzeiro MG also won 2–1 at home. Red Bull Bragantino SP won 1–0 at home on April 21, 2025. The other two meetings ended 1–1: a Friendly Clubs match on March 22, 2025, and a Serie A match on December 1, 2024.

League Table Positions

Cruzeiro MG sit 5th in the Serie A table with 48 points from 29 matches: 14 wins, 6 draws, 9 losses, 44 goals scored and 40 conceded. Red Bull Bragantino SP are 11th with 37 points from 29 matches: 10 wins, 7 draws, 12 losses, 34 goals scored and 33 conceded. The gap is 11 points. At home, Red Bull Bragantino SP have 16 points from 15 away games, while Cruzeiro MG have 20 points from 14 away matches.

Win Probability: Red Bull Bragantino SP or Cruzeiro MG?

Red Bull Bragantino SP has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Cruzeiro MG has a 45% chance. The probability calculation uses the bookmaker odds as a base: home odds around 2.52, draw 2.22, away 3.20. After removing the bookmaker margin, the implied probabilities are roughly 38% for a home win, 43% for the draw, and 30% for an away win. However, Cruzeiro MG's stronger recent form, better league position, and superior head-to-head record adjust the numbers in their favor. Red Bull Bragantino SP's poor home form and five-match winless run reduce their chances. The draw remains a realistic outcome because three of the last five H2H meetings have ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a close match. The best available odds are 2.52 for a Red Bull Bragantino SP win, 2.22 for the draw, and 3.20 for a Cruzeiro MG win. Based on the stats, Cruzeiro MG are the more likely winner, but the value may be in the draw given the H2H record. The final Red Bull Bragantino SP vs Cruzeiro MG prediction is an away win or draw, with Cruzeiro MG having the highest individual probability.