Crvena Zvezda U19 - Novi Pazar U19 prediction 13 October 2026

This Crvena Zvezda U19 vs Novi Pazar U19 prediction looks ahead to the League U19 fixture in Serbia on Oct 13 at 14:00. Based on the available stats, recent form, and head-to-head data, Crvena Zvezda U19 enters the match as the stronger side, though Novi Pazar U19 arrives in excellent form, making this a compelling contest.

Team Form

Crvena Zvezda U19 have had a mixed run recently, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They have shown goal-scoring prowess on the road with a 4-0 victory at FK Jedinstvo UB U19 and a 5-2 win at FK Mladost Lucani U19. However, they have been less consistent at home, losing 2-3 to FK IMT Novi Beograd U19 and drawing 1-1 with Partizan Belgrad U19.

Novi Pazar U19, on the other hand, are in impressive form with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. They have been particularly dangerous away from home with victories at FK Jedinstvo UB U19 (2-1) and Partizan Belgrad U19 (2-1). Their only recent stalemate was a 1-1 draw at home to Brodarac U19. With a 4-2 home win over Cukaricki U19 also in the mix, their confidence will be high.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Crvena Zvezda U19. In their previous eight meetings, Crvena Zvezda U19 have won six times, while Novi Pazar U19 have managed just two wins, with no draws recorded. Recent clashes underscore this dominance: a 3-1 home win in April 2026, a 4-1 away victory in September 2025, and another 3-1 home success in May 2025. Novi Pazar U19's last win in this fixture came in earlier meetings, but the overall H2H trend points clearly toward the hosts.

League Table Positions

In the current League U19 standings, Novi Pazar U19 sit in 5th place with 16 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Crvena Zvezda U19 are just behind in 6th with 14 points but have a superior goal difference (21 scored, 10 conceded) compared to Novi Pazar's 16 for and 15 against. On home soil, Crvena Zvezda are in 7th place in the home table with 7 points from 4 games. Novi Pazar's away form ranks them 5th in the away standings, also with 6 points from 4 away fixtures. The two-point gap and the home-field factor make this a tight matchup in the table context.

Win Probability: Crvena Zvezda U19 or Novi Pazar U19?

Our win probability calculation, based on form, head-to-head record, league table position, and the home advantage, gives a clear edge to the hosts. Crvena Zvezda U19 has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 22%, and Novi Pazar U19 has a 26% chance. The calculation starts from a typical implied odds baseline, then adjusts heavily for the 6-2 head-to-head advantage in Crvena Zvezda's favor and the benefit of playing at home, while also accounting for Novi Pazar's notably stronger W4-D1-L0 current form run. The probability conclusion is that Crvena Zvezda U19 are the more likely winners, but the visitors' recent performances mean an away win cannot be discounted.

Odds & Match Prediction

Match odds from bookmakers were not provided in the available data, but the statistical model suggests Crvena Zvezda U19 should be considered clear favorites for this encounter. Their dominant historical record against Novi Pazar U19 and home advantage outweigh the visitors' slight edge in recent league form. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home victory, but given Novi Pazar U19's scoring ability on the road, a goal from the away side is a realistic possibility in what could be an entertaining match.