CS Cartagines - AD San Carlos prediction 1 November 2026

AD San Carlos vs CS Cartagines prediction for the Primera Division match on Sep 21, 2026. Based on the latest odds and team performances, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 40% probability, while CS Cartagines holds a 33% chance to win and AD San Carlos 27%.

Team Form

AD San Carlos enters this match in strong form, winning four of their last five games (W-W-L-W-W). They beat Municipal Perez Zeledon 2-0 away, Sporting San Jose 1-0 at home, LD Alajuelense 1-0 away, and Herediano 1-0 at home. Their only setback was a 1-2 home loss to Marineros de Puntarenas. In these five matches, they scored 6 goals and conceded just 2, showing defensive solidity.

CS Cartagines also has four wins in their last five outings (W-W-W-W-L), scoring 13 goals. They defeated LD Alajuelense 3-1 at home, Marineros de Puntarenas 3-1 away, Herediano 1-0 at home, and CD Escorpiones Belen 4-1 away. Their lone defeat was a 2-3 loss away to league leaders Deportivo Saprissa. The away side’s attack has been prolific, averaging 2.6 goals per game in this stretch.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record heavily favors CS Cartagines. In 41 meetings, CS Cartagines has won 17 times, AD San Carlos 8, with 16 draws. The last five encounters underline this dominance: CS Cartagines won four and drew one. The most recent match on Apr 22, 2026, ended 2-1 to CS Cartagines. AD San Carlos last avoided defeat with a 1-1 home draw in March 2026. The away side has scored at least once in each of the last five H2H matches.

League Table Positions

In the Primera Division standings, CS Cartagines sits 2nd with 18 points from 8 matches (6 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), while AD San Carlos is 5th with 12 points (4 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses). CS Cartagines has scored 18 goals and conceded 9, compared to AD San Carlos’s 7 goals for and 9 against. At home, AD San Carlos has 6 points from 4 games (2W, 0D, 2L), and CS Cartagines has 6 points from 4 away games (2W, 0D, 2L). The 6-point gap and superior goal difference highlight the visitors’ advantage.

Win Probability: AD San Carlos or CS Cartagines?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: AD San Carlos win – 27%, Draw – 40%, CS Cartagines win – 33%. The draw is the single most likely outcome, but CS Cartagines has a higher chance of winning than the home side. These percentages are derived from the average of five bookmakers’ odds (with the overround removed) and adjusted for recent form and H2H trends. CS Cartagines’s superior league position, stronger attack, and historical edge make them the more probable winner if a draw is avoided.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this match show a tight contest. The best available odds are around 3.30 for an AD San Carlos home win, 2.05 for the draw, and 2.50 for a CS Cartagines away win. These odds imply a high probability of a stalemate. Considering the stats, the most probable result is a draw, but if there is a winner, CS Cartagines is the more likely side. Our AD San Carlos vs CS Cartagines prediction: a low-scoring draw or a narrow away win is the most realistic outcome based on the numbers.