Sporting San Jose - CS Cartagines prediction 10 October 2026

Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines prediction for the Primera Division match on Oct 10, 2026, at 03:00. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Sporting San Jose has a 40% chance of winning, while CS Cartagines has a 25% win probability, with a draw at 35%.

Team Form

Sporting San Jose come into this match with four wins from their last five games (W-W-L-W-W). They beat Municipal Perez Zeledon 2-1 away, Deportivo Saprissa 4-2 at home, Inter San Carlos 2-0 at home, and Herediano 3-0 away. Their only defeat was a 1-0 loss at AD San Carlos.

CS Cartagines also have four wins in five (L-W-W-W-W). They defeated LD Alajuelense 3-1 at home, Marineros de Puntarenas 3-1 away, Herediano 1-0 at home, and CD Escorpiones Belen 4-1 away. Their loss came at AD San Carlos (1-0). Both teams are in excellent scoring form, with 11 goals each in the last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record is evenly balanced: 11 wins for Sporting San Jose, 11 for CS Cartagines, and 5 draws. In the last five meetings, Sporting San Jose have won three times, including a 4-1 home win in the Cup on Feb 4, 2026, and a 2-0 away win in the league on Jan 30, 2026. CS Cartagines won the most recent league clash 2-1 at home on Aug 8, 2026. The last encounter at this venue saw Sporting San Jose lose 2-3 to Cartagines in April 2026, but overall the hosts have a slight edge in recent form.

• Aug 8, 2026: CS Cartagines 2-1 Sporting San Jose
• Apr 3, 2026: Sporting San Jose 2-3 CS Cartagines
• Feb 12, 2026 (Cup): CS Cartagines 1-2 Sporting San Jose
• Feb 4, 2026 (Cup): Sporting San Jose 4-1 CS Cartagines
• Jan 30, 2026: CS Cartagines 0-2 Sporting San Jose

League Table Positions

CS Cartagines sit 2nd in the Primera Division with 18 points from 8 matches (6 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Sporting San Jose are 3rd with 17 points from 9 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). At home, Sporting San Jose are unbeaten: 3 wins and 1 draw from 4 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 3. CS Cartagines' away record is 2 wins and 2 losses from 4 games, with 9 goals scored and 6 conceded. The home advantage clearly favors Sporting San Jose.

Win Probability: Sporting San Jose or CS Cartagines?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Sporting San Jose win – 40%, draw – 35%, CS Cartagines win – 25%. The bookmakers' odds implied a draw as the most likely outcome (around 39%), but Sporting San Jose's strong home form and their 3 wins in the last 5 H2H meetings shift the balance slightly in their favor. CS Cartagines are a dangerous side, but their away losses and the hosts' unbeaten home record make a home win the most probable single outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Sporting San Jose win at 2.20, draw at 2.08, and CS Cartagines win at 3.30. Bookmakers see a draw as the most likely result, but the home win odds are close. Our prediction: based on the stats, Sporting San Jose are the slight favorites to win, but a draw is a very realistic possibility. A 1-1 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home side seems plausible.