CS Gheorgheni - ACS FC Bacau II prediction 3 October 2026

The CS Gheorgheni vs ACS FC Bacau II prediction for this Liga III fixture points towards an away win on October 3, 2026. Kick-off is at 13:00 local time in Romania, and our analysis gives ACS FC Bacau II a 48% chance of victory, while CS Gheorgheni sit at 28% and the draw at 24%.

Team Form

CS Gheorgheni

CS Gheorgheni are in dreadful form, losing all of their last five matches. They fell 2-0 against AS USV Iasi on September 26, 2026, and also suffered defeats to Vaslui (1-0), ACS FC Bacau II (3-1), Vaslui again (2-0), and Odorheiu Secuiesc (2-1). All five losses came on the road, but the lack of any positive result raises serious questions ahead of this home match.

ACS FC Bacau II

ACS FC Bacau II have been inconsistent, recording three wins and two losses in their last five outings. They lost 2-1 away to AS USV Iasi in their most recent match but had previously beaten Kosarom Pascani 1-0, CS Gheorgheni 3-1, and Aerostar Bacau 3-2. An earlier 2-0 defeat at Soimii Gura Humorului shows they can be vulnerable on their travels, but their ability to win games makes them the form side in this contest.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on April 24, 2026. ACS FC Bacau II hosted CS Gheorgheni and secured a comfortable 3-1 win. That result gives the away side a clear psychological edge entering this fixture.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Liga III standings provided, suggesting both are struggling lower down the table. The gap in form and the head-to-head result point towards ACS FC Bacau II as the stronger side despite both likely being in the bottom half.

CS Gheorgheni vs ACS FC Bacau II Prediction: Odds & Win Probability

The bookmaker odds for this match are: CS Gheorgheni win 2.80, draw 3.60, and ACS FC Bacau II win 2.10. Removing the margin, the raw implied probabilities are 32% for a home win, 25% for the draw, and 43% for an away win.

Adjusting for recent form and head-to-head data, we raise ACS FC Bacau II's win probability to 48%. CS Gheorgheni's five consecutive defeats reduce their chances to 28%, while the draw sits at 24%. The away side's three wins in five, combined with a 3-1 victory in the only previous meeting, make them the clear favourite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win for ACS FC Bacau II.