Universitatea Alba Iulia - CS Muresul Deva (CSM Cetate Deva) prediction 18 September 2026

The Universitatea Alba Iulia vs CS Muresul Deva (CSM Cetate Deva) prediction for September 18, 2026, points to an away victory in this Liga III clash. Kick-off is at 14:00, and based on the latest odds and team form, CS Muresul Deva enters the match as the clear favorite with a 62% win probability. Universitatea Alba Iulia has a 20% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 18%.

Team Form

Universitatea Alba Iulia's recent form is inconsistent, with a record of one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (L, D, L, W, L). They are coming off a 3-2 away defeat against Stinta Poli Timisoara 2 on Sep 11. Their only win in this stretch was a 6-2 home victory over Progresul Pecica back in May. Defensively, they have conceded 13 goals in these five games.

CS Muresul Deva shows stronger form with two wins, two draws, and one loss (W, D, D, W, L). Their most recent match was a convincing 3-1 home win against Progresul Pecica on Sep 11. The team has been solid, keeping two clean sheets in their last five outings and scoring 8 goals.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, in a Cup match on August 16, 2023. That encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, giving no clear historical advantage to either side. With 0 home wins, 1 draw, and 0 away wins in the head-to-head record, this fixture is historically balanced.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the provided top-12 overall, home, or away standings for Liga III, suggesting they are positioned lower in the table. This lack of ranking data indicates both sides are likely mid-table or lower, making the match a contest between two teams looking to climb. The absence from the top spots adds weight to the form and odds analysis.

Win Probability: Universitatea Alba Iulia or CS Muresul Deva?

Based on the odds, form, and home/away factor, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: Universitatea Alba Iulia has a 20% chance of winning, the draw is at 18%, and CS Muresul Deva has a 62% chance. The odds heavily favor the away side (1.44 for an away win), and their superior recent form (two wins in the last five vs. one for the hosts) supports this. Universitatea Alba Iulia's home advantage is not enough to offset their defensive struggles. CS Muresul Deva is more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the odds at 5.50 for a home win, 2.40 for a draw, and 1.44 for an away win. These odds clearly identify CS Muresul Deva as the favorite. Based on the stats, an away win is the most probable outcome. Universitatea Alba Iulia's leaky defense and poor form make them vulnerable, while CS Muresul Deva's recent 3-1 victory shows they can score and control games. The prediction is a win for CS Muresul Deva.