CS Timisul Sag - Progresul Pecica prediction 18 September 2026

The CS Timisul Sag vs Progresul Pecica prediction for September 18, 2026, points to a competitive Liga III clash in Romania. Based on the latest odds and team form, CS Timisul Sag enters as the slight favorite with a 45% win probability, while Progresul Pecica holds a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%. The match kicks off at 12:00, and bookmakers see the home side as the more likely winner.

Team Form

CS Timisul Sag has been impressive in recent outings, winning four of their last five matches. Their recent results show a strong run: a 2-0 away win against Ghiroda, a 1-3 home loss to CSM Metalul Resita in the Cup, a 1-0 home victory over Progresul Pecica, a 4-3 home thriller against Ghiroda, and a 2-1 home win against ACS Unirea Dmo. This W-L-W-W-W sequence highlights their attacking threat, especially at home where they have scored in every recent match.

Progresul Pecica's form is more inconsistent, with two losses, one win, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They suffered a 3-1 away defeat to CS Muresul Deva, bounced back with a 5-2 home win against Stinta Poli Timisoara 2, drew 0-0 away at ACS Viitorul Pandurii Targu Jiu, lost 1-0 away to CS Timisul Sag in the Cup, and fell 0-3 at home to UTA Arad in a friendly. Their away performances have been particularly shaky, with three losses in the last four road games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record favors Progresul Pecica, who have won two of the three previous meetings. CS Timisul Sag has one victory. The most recent encounter was a Cup match on July 29, 2026, where CS Timisul Sag won 1-0 at home. Before that, Progresul Pecica dominated with a 3-0 away win in Liga III on September 23, 2025, and a 2-1 away victory on November 29, 2024. All three matches were played at CS Timisul Sag's ground, giving the visitors a surprising historical edge.

League Table Positions

Neither CS Timisul Sag nor Progresul Pecica appears in the provided league standings for the current Liga III season. The table is topped by FC Cetate Suceava with 24 points from 8 matches, followed by CSM Ramnicu Valcea and Gloria Popesti Leordeni. Without their specific positions, we rely on form and H2H data to assess their relative strength.

Win Probability: CS Timisul Sag or Progresul Pecica?

CS Timisul Sag has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Progresul Pecica has a 30% chance. This calculation is based on the inverse of the available odds (home: 2.10 and 1.88, draw: 2.40 and 3.75, away: 4.33 and 3.10), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for team form and head-to-head records. CS Timisul Sag's strong recent home form (four wins in five) and their Cup victory over Pecica boost their probability. However, Progresul Pecica's historical dominance in this fixture and their ability to win on this ground prevent the home side from being a heavier favorite. The draw probability reflects the competitive nature of Liga III matches and the mixed signals from the data.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. One set lists a home win at 2.10, a draw at 2.40, and an away win at 4.33. Another shows a home win at 1.88, a draw at 3.75, and an away win at 3.10. The discrepancy in away odds suggests some uncertainty, but both sets imply CS Timisul Sag is the favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow home victory, though a draw cannot be ruled out given Progresul Pecica's past success here. Our prediction: CS Timisul Sag to win, but with caution.