Deportivo Mixco - CSD Municipal prediction 21 October 2026

The Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal prediction for this Liga Nacional clash on October 21, 2026, at 22:00 leans towards CSD Municipal as the likely winner. Based on our probability model, CSD Municipal has a 47% chance to win, Deportivo Mixco sits at 28%, and the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Deportivo Mixco's recent form has been patchy, with results reading W, D, D, W, L over their last five matches.

• Deportivo Mixco 3-1 Coban Imperial (Oct 18)
• Marquense 1-1 Deportivo Mixco (Oct 15)
• Suchitepequez 3-3 Deportivo Mixco (Oct 11)
• Deportivo Mixco 3-1 Antigua GFC (Sep 27)
• Malacateco 1-0 Deportivo Mixco (Sep 21)

CSD Municipal's recent form shows D, L, D, D, W. They have drawn three of their last five, indicating a team that is difficult to beat but struggling to close out games.

• CSD Municipal 1-1 Guastatoya (Oct 19)
• Coban Imperial 2-1 CSD Municipal (Oct 15)
• CSD Municipal 1-1 Marquense (Oct 12)
• Antigua GFC 1-1 CSD Municipal (Oct 9)
• CSD Municipal 3-0 Suchitepequez (Sep 25)

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record heavily favors CSD Municipal. In the last 14 meetings, CSD Municipal has 7 wins, Deportivo Mixco has 3, and 4 matches have ended in a draw. Recent encounters further underline this dominance.

• Jul 25, 2026: CSD Municipal 2-0 Deportivo Mixco
• May 10, 2026: CSD Municipal 5-0 Deportivo Mixco
• May 6, 2026: Deportivo Mixco 0-2 CSD Municipal
• Apr 26, 2026: CSD Municipal 3-0 Deportivo Mixco
• Mar 4, 2026: Deportivo Mixco 1-0 CSD Municipal

CSD Municipal has won four of the last five H2H matches, keeping a clean sheet in three of those victories.

League Table Positions

League table data is not provided in the current dataset. Analysis is based purely on recent form and the H2H record.

Win Probability: Deportivo Mixco or CSD Municipal?

Based on available odds, form, and H2H record, the win probabilities are as follows: CSD Municipal has a 47% chance of winning, a draw has a 25% probability, and Deportivo Mixco has a 28% chance. The total equals 100%. CSD Municipal's dominant H2H record (7 wins to 3) and their ability to secure results away from home, even with a high number of draws recently, make them the more likely winner. Deportivo Mixco's inconsistent form and poor historical record in this fixture reduce their probability, although home advantage gives them a better chance than recent H2H scorelines might suggest.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds reflect a tight contest. The best available odds in the market show a home win for Deportivo Mixco at 2.62, a draw at 2.05, and an away win for CSD Municipal at 2.98. The unusually low odds on the draw from some bookmakers (as low as 2.05) suggest the market sees a stalemate as a very realistic outcome. Based on the stats, the head-to-head dominance, and the current form, CSD Municipal is the predicted winner, but a low-scoring draw is a significant danger. The Deportivo Mixco vs CSD Municipal prediction is an away win or draw for the visitors.