| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 30 | |
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:4 | +19 | 28 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | +12 | 26 | |
| 4 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:13 | +12 | 25 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 | |
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 17 | |
| 7 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 | |
| 8 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 | |
| 10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 | |
| 11 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 9 | |
| 12 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 9 | |
| 13 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 8 | |
| 14 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 6 |
The CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction for October 11, 2026, points to an away win for CSKA Sofia, who enter this 1st League derby with a 45% probability of victory. The match kicks off at 18:00 and sees two of Bulgaria's top sides clash, with CSKA Sofia holding a clear edge in head-to-head history and current form.
CSKA 1948 Sofia have been inconsistent lately, recording three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They beat Slavia Sofia 2-1 away, Dunav Ruse 2-1 at home, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 at home, but suffered defeats to Levski Sofia (1-0) and Septemvri Sofia (1-0).
CSKA Sofia are unbeaten in their last five outings, with three wins and two draws. They drew 1-1 at Lokomotiv Plovdiv, won 2-0 at Lokomotiv Sofia, thrashed FC Arda Kardzhali 4-1 at home, drew 1-1 at Spartak Varna, and beat Cherno More Varna 3-1 at home.
The head-to-head record heavily favours CSKA Sofia. In 17 previous meetings, CSKA Sofia have won 11, CSKA 1948 Sofia have won just 2, and 4 matches ended in draws. The most recent encounter on May 13, 2026, finished 1-1. Earlier in 2026, CSKA Sofia won 1-0 and 2-0 in league matches, and also recorded a 2-0 cup victory.
CSKA Sofia sit 2nd in the 1st League with 24 points from 10 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses), scoring 24 goals and conceding only 7. CSKA 1948 Sofia are 4th with 22 points from 10 games (7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), with 19 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home, CSKA 1948 Sofia have a perfect record (5 wins from 5), while CSKA Sofia are unbeaten away (2 wins, 3 draws).
Based on bookmakers' odds, recent form, and head-to-head statistics, we calculate the following win probabilities:
CSKA Sofia are the more likely winners. Their dominant H2H record (11 wins in 17 games), unbeaten away form, and higher league position give them a clear advantage. CSKA 1948 Sofia's perfect home record is a strong counter, but the odds and historical data still favour the visitors.
Bookmakers see CSKA Sofia as the favourite. The best available odds are around 3.80 for a CSKA 1948 Sofia win, 2.20 for a draw, and between 2.20 and 2.40 for a CSKA Sofia victory. These odds imply a 40% chance for the away win, which we have adjusted slightly upward to 45% after factoring in form and H2H dominance. Our CSKA 1948 Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction is an away win, but a draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' defensive solidity.