CSM Adjud 1946 - AS USV Iasi prediction 22 September 2026

The CSM Adjud 1946 vs AS USV Iasi prediction for September 22, 2026, points towards an away win. This Liga III clash in Romania kicks off at 15:00, and based on the latest form and head-to-head data, AS USV Iasi enters the match as the favorite with a 52% win probability, while CSM Adjud 1946 has a 26% chance.

Team Form

CSM Adjud 1946's recent form is inconsistent, with results reading D, L, D, W, L in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 2-2 home draw against ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc on Sep 12. Prior to that, they suffered a 2-4 home loss to CS Sporting Liesti in the Cup. They have managed just one win in their last five, a 1-0 home victory over Acs Bucovina Radauti back in April.

AS USV Iasi, in stark contrast, is in excellent form with a sequence of W, W, D, W, W. They are coming off a 2-1 home win against ACS FC Bacau II on Sep 19. Their only minor blemish was a 1-1 Cup draw with CS Sporting Liesti, but they have otherwise been flawless, including a 2-1 win over ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc and a 1-0 Cup victory against FC Cetate Suceava.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited to two previous meetings, both hosted by AS USV Iasi. The away side has the edge with one win and one draw. The most recent encounter on April 17, 2026, ended in a 1-1 stalemate. The earlier match on November 21, 2025, saw AS USV Iasi secure a 2-1 victory. CSM Adjud 1946 has yet to record a win in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Neither CSM Adjud 1946 nor AS USV Iasi appears in the provided top 12 of the overall league standings. The table is led by FC Cetate Suceava with a perfect 24 points from 8 games. The home and away standings are similarly dominated by other clubs, indicating both teams in this prediction are likely in the lower half of their respective series or groups within Liga III. This lack of a strong table position adds to the uncertainty but makes the visitors' superior form an even more critical factor.

Win Probability: CSM Adjud 1946 or AS USV Iasi?

Based on the available data, the calculated win probabilities are: CSM Adjud 1946 win: 26%, draw: 22%, AS USV Iasi win: 52%. This calculation uses the bookmaker odds as a base, normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusts for the significant disparity in recent form. AS USV Iasi's four wins in five games give them a clear edge over CSM Adjud 1946's single victory in the same period. The head-to-head record, with one win and one draw for AS USV Iasi, further supports the away team as the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers show varied odds for this match. One set of odds prices a home win at 3.20, a draw at 2.25, and an away win at 2.75. Another bookmaker offers 2.62 for the home win, 3.40 for the draw, and 2.22 for the away win. The implied probabilities from these odds, after removing the margin, align with our assessment that AS USV Iasi is the favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is an away victory for AS USV Iasi. A secondary consideration is a low-scoring game given the 1-1 and 2-1 scorelines in their previous meetings.