The FCSB Steaua Bucuresti II vs CSM Alexandria prediction for the Liga III match on Sep 22, 2026, at 15:00 points to an away favorite. Based on the latest odds and recent form, CSM Alexandria has a 42% win probability, FCSB Steaua Bucuresti II sits at 28%, and the draw is at 30%.
FCSB Steaua Bucuresti II come into this match with three wins and two losses in their last five outings. They beat Oxigen Bucuresti 2-1 away on Sep 18, lost 2-4 at home to LPS HD Clinceni on Sep 11, fell 0-1 at home to Dinamo Bucuresti II on Aug 28, won 3-1 away at Dinamo Bucuresti II on May 15, and thrashed CS Agigea 3-0 at home on May 8. Over these five matches, they scored 10 goals and conceded 7.
CSM Alexandria have managed one win, two draws, and two losses in the same span. They drew 2-2 at home with Dunarea Giurgiu on Sep 18, lost 0-1 away to ACS Omega Buc on Sep 12, lost 1-2 away to Acs Axi Arena Adunatii Copaceni on May 1, won 3-2 away at Progresul Spartac 1944 on Apr 18, and drew 2-2 away at Acso Filiasi on Mar 27. They scored 8 goals and conceded 9 in these five games.
There is no head-to-head history between FCSB Steaua Bucuresti II and CSM Alexandria. This will be their first ever meeting, so no previous results can be used to gauge the matchup.
Win Probability: FCSB Steaua Bucuresti II or CSM Alexandria? We calculated the chances by taking the inverse of the available odds, normalizing to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusting for recent form and home advantage. The raw odds implied a 24% home win, 28% draw, and 48% away win. FCSB Steaua Bucuresti IIโs stronger recent form (3 wins in 5 vs CSM Alexandriaโs 1 win) and home pitch factor shift the probabilities to 28% for a home win, 30% for a draw, and 42% for an away win. CSM Alexandria remains the more likely winner, but the draw is a very realistic outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction. Bookmakers see CSM Alexandria as the favorite. The best available odds show an away win priced between 1.72 and 2.25, a home win around 3.70โ3.80, and the draw between 2.40 and 3.75. Based on the stats, CSM Alexandria is the predicted winner, but the high draw probability suggests a tight contest. A 1-1 or 2-1 away result looks plausible.