CSM Metalul Resita - CSM Ramnicu Valcea prediction 2 October 2026

CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CSM Metalul Resita prediction for the Liga II match on September 5, 2026, at 08:00 UTC. The visitors, CSM Metalul Resita, enter as the favorites with a 40% win probability, while the draw is at 35% and a home win stands at 25%.

Team Form

CSM Ramnicu Valcea's last five results: W, D, D, L, D. They have drawn three of their last five, including a 2-2 home draw against ASC Bacau and a 1-1 home draw against Chindia Targoviste in the Cup. The only win came away at ACS Dumbravita (1-0). At home, they have failed to win in three straight matches across all competitions (0W, 2D, 1L).

CSM Metalul Resita's last five: W, L, D, W, W. They recorded a 2-1 home victory over CSA Steaua and a 2-0 home win against Stefanestii de Jos, but suffered a heavy 4-1 away defeat to Gloria Popesti Leordeni. Their away league record is 1 win, 1 loss, while cup away form includes a 3-1 win at CS Timisul Sag.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between CSM Ramnicu Valcea and CSM Metalul Resita. This will be their first competitive meeting.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga II standings, CSM Metalul Resita sit 4th with 12 points (4W, 0D, 1L, goals 9:6). CSM Ramnicu Valcea are 9th with 8 points (2W, 2D, 1L, goals 6:5). The home side has a poor home record (0W, 2D, 1L), while the visitors have a strong home record (3W, 0D, 0L) and a mixed away record (1W, 0D, 1L). The four-point gap highlights the away team's stronger start to the season.

Win Probability: CSM Ramnicu Valcea or CSM Metalul Resita?

Based on odds, form, and league standings, the calculated win probabilities are: CSM Ramnicu Valcea 25%, draw 35%, CSM Metalul Resita 40%. The bookmakers' implied probabilities initially favour a draw, but the visitors' superior form and higher table position adjust the outcome slightly in their favour. CSM Metalul Resita has a 40% chance of winning, making them the most likely winner, though a draw remains a strong possibility.

CSM Ramnicu Valcea vs CSM Metalul Resita Prediction

Bookmakers offer home win odds ranging from 3.10 to 3.44, draw odds between 2.05 and 3.13 (most around 2.10), and away win odds from 2.00 to 2.75. The market sees the draw as the most probable single result, but the low odds on the away side reflect CSM Metalul Resita's edge. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a draw or an away win. Our prediction: a tight contest, with CSM Metalul Resita having a slightly better chance to take all three points.