Cuilapa - Monjas prediction 7 October 2026
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The Cuilapa vs Monjas prediction for this Segunda Division match on October 7, 2026, at 22:00, points to a home win with a 38% probability. Cuilapa enters as the slight favorite based on a dominant head-to-head record and home advantage, despite a poor recent run of form.
Team Form
Cuilapa's recent home performances have been disappointing. In their last five matches at home, they have recorded four losses and one draw:
- 0-2 loss vs Deportivo Catocha (Oct 5, 2026)
- 0-1 loss vs Deportivo Sanarate (Aug 23, 2026)
- 1-2 loss vs Sansare (Mar 29, 2026)
- 2-3 loss vs Jutiapa (Mar 25, 2026)
- 0-0 draw vs Tigres Del Jumay (Mar 8, 2026)
Monjas, on the other hand, have shown more resilience on the road. Their last five away matches resulted in three wins and two losses:
- 1-2 loss vs Jalapaneco (Sep 7, 2026)
- 3-0 win vs Sansare (Sep 2, 2026)
- 2-3 win vs Deportivo Sanarate (Aug 30, 2026)
- 0-2 win vs Jutiapa (Aug 16, 2026)
- 2-0 loss vs Jutiapa (Mar 28, 2026)
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Cuilapa. In two previous meetings, both played at Cuilapa's home ground, the hosts won convincingly:
- Cuilapa 3-0 Monjas (Feb 22, 2026)
- Cuilapa 4-1 Monjas (Sep 24, 2025)
Cuilapa has scored seven goals and conceded only one across these two fixtures, underlining their historical dominance in this matchup.
Win Probability: Cuilapa or Monjas?
Based on odds, recent form, head-to-head data, and home advantage, the calculated win probabilities are:
- Cuilapa win: 38%
- Draw: 32%
- Monjas win: 30%
Cuilapa has a 38% chance of winning, making them the most likely winner. The draw is a strong possibility at 32%, reflecting Cuilapa's poor form and Monjas' inconsistency. Monjas, despite better recent away results, has never beaten Cuilapa in this fixture, which limits their probability to 30%.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varied odds for this Segunda Division clash. One set lists Cuilapa at 3.10, the draw at 2.10, and Monjas at 3.00. Another set shows Cuilapa at 2.38, the draw at 3.20, and Monjas at 2.62. The draw is priced as the most likely outcome in the first set, while the second set suggests a more open contest.
Taking all stats into account, the Cuilapa vs Monjas prediction is a home win. Cuilapa's perfect head-to-head record and home advantage outweigh their recent struggles. However, the high draw probability means a cautious approach is warranted. A 1-0 or 2-1 victory for Cuilapa appears the most realistic outcome based on the data.
Cuilapa vs Monjas โ FAQ
- Who will win Cuilapa vs Monjas?
- Cuilapa is the most likely winner with a 38% probability. The draw has a 32% chance, while Monjas has a 30% chance. The prediction leans towards Cuilapa due to their strong head-to-head record and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Cuilapa?
- Cuilapa has a 38% chance of winning. This is based on odds, their perfect head-to-head record against Monjas (two wins from two meetings), and the home field factor, although their recent form (four losses in five home games) prevents a higher probability.
- When is the Cuilapa vs Monjas match?
- The match is scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 22:00 local time. It is a Segunda Division fixture in Guatemala.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers have released two sets of odds. One offers Cuilapa at 3.10, a draw at 2.10, and Monjas at 3.00. Another shows Cuilapa at 2.38, the draw at 3.20, and Monjas at 2.62. The draw is the shortest price in the first set, indicating it is seen as a likely outcome.
- What is the head-to-head record between Cuilapa and Monjas?
- Cuilapa has won both previous meetings, both at home. They defeated Monjas 3-0 in February 2026 and 4-1 in September 2025. Monjas has yet to earn a point or score more than one goal in this fixture.