Warrington Rylands - Curzon Ashton prediction 13 October 2026

The Warrington Rylands vs Curzon Ashton prediction for October 13, 2026, points to an away win, with Curzon Ashton holding a 40% probability of victory. The two Northern Premier League sides meet at 19:45, with bookmakers pricing the draw as the most likely outcome, but recent form gives the visitors a clear edge.

Team Form

Warrington Rylands approach this match with a mixed run of results: L, D, W, W, L. They lost 3-0 away to Cleethorpes Town on October 10, managed a 3-3 draw at Leek Town on October 6, beat AFC Emley 4-1 at home, won 1-0 at Ilkeston Town, and lost 1-0 at home to Chorley in the FA Cup. That form shows two league wins in the last five but also two defeats.

Curzon Ashton, on the other hand, are flying high with four straight league wins. Their recent results read W, W, W, W, L, with the only setback a 2-1 FA Cup loss to Bradford Park Avenue on September 5. In the league, they beat Hyde 2-0 on October 10, Redcar Athletic 3-1 on October 6, Stalybridge Celtic 3-1 in the FA Trophy, and Lancaster City 2-0 away. The away team has scored 10 goals in those four victories.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Warrington Rylands and Curzon Ashton. According to available data, the teams have never faced each other before, so this will be the first meeting in any competition.

League Table Positions

Curzon Ashton sit 5th in the Northern Premier League with 22 points from 11 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, goals 23–11). Warrington Rylands are 7th, with 20 points from 13 games (6 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses, goals 20–20). The visitors have played two games fewer and enjoy a superior goal difference.

At home, Warrington Rylands rank 6th with 13 points from 6 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 12–8). Curzon Ashton’s away record — based on their overall points minus home points — stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses from 5 away trips. The home side is solid on their own pitch, but the visitors have been efficient on the road.

Win Probability: Warrington Rylands or Curzon Ashton?

Based on the odds, recent form, league positions, and home/away factors, the win probabilities are:

• Warrington Rylands win: 30%
• Draw: 30%
• Curzon Ashton win: 40%

Odds from bookmakers implied a roughly 30.4% chance for a home win, 39.2% for the draw, and 30.4% for an away win after normalizing the margin. However, Curzon Ashton’s strong recent league form — four consecutive wins — and their higher league position pull the away probability higher. Warrington Rylands’ inconsistent results (two losses in the last three) and the lack of any head-to-head data further tilt the balance toward the visitors. Still, Warrington Rylands’ solid home record (4 wins in 6) keeps the contest relatively open, and a draw remains a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this match show a draw as the favorite. One set of prices lists home win at 2.90, draw at 2.25, and away win at 2.90. These odds reflect the tight nature of the contest on paper, with both sides priced almost identically. However, based on the stats and the 40% win probability for Curzon Ashton, the away result may offer value. Our prediction: Curzon Ashton to win, but with a note that a draw remains a significant 30% chance. When placing betting tips for Warrington Rylands vs Curzon Ashton, consider the visitors’ form and the fact that Warrington Rylands have conceded in three of their last five matches.