Dagenham & Redbridge - Waltham Abbey prediction 22 September 2026

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey prediction: this FA Cup tie is played on Sep 22 at 19:45 in England. Bookmakers have Dagenham & Redbridge as the clear favorite, and the probability model gives the home side 64%, the draw 26% and Waltham Abbey 10%.

Team Form

Dagenham & Redbridge's last five matches were all in the National League South. They produced results of L, L, D, W, L. In that run they lost 1-0 at Weston Super Mare on Sep 12, lost 0-1 at home to Dover Athletic on Sep 8, drew 1-1 at Horsham FC on Sep 5, beat Slough Town 1-0 on Aug 31, and lost 3-0 at Truro City on Aug 29. They scored 2 goals and conceded 6 in those five matches.

Waltham Abbey's last five results read W, L, L, L, D. Their matches were spread across the FA Trophy, Southern Division One, Friendly Clubs and Isthmian League. North Division. They won 2-0 at Fakenham Town on Sep 12, lost 2-4 at home to Potters Bar Town on Aug 11, lost 1-7 at home to Leyton Orient on Aug 4, lost 1-2 at home to Stanway Rovers on Apr 28, and drew 2-2 at Downham Town on Apr 25. They scored 8 goals and conceded 15 in that period.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Dagenham & Redbridge and Waltham Abbey. The H2H record is 0 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins, so this FA Cup meeting is a first-time matchup on the available data.

Win Probability: Dagenham & Redbridge or Waltham Abbey?

Dagenham & Redbridge has a 64% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Waltham Abbey has a 10% chance. The probability total is 100%.

These percentages use the inverse of the two listed 1X2 odds as the base, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. The average odds are around 1.21 for a home win, 2.99 for the draw and 7.75 for an away win. Home advantage and the competition gap support Dagenham & Redbridge: their recent league matches are in the National League South, while Waltham Abbey’s recent fixtures are in the Southern Division One and Isthmian League. North Division, plus an FA Trophy tie and a friendly. However, Dagenham & Redbridge’s recent form of one win, one draw and three defeats means the draw remains a significant outcome at 26%. Waltham Abbey carry only one win from their last five matches, so an away win is the least likely result.

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Waltham Abbey Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers list two sets of 1X2 odds. One bookmaker has Dagenham & Redbridge at 1.21, the draw at 3.10 and Waltham Abbey at 7.00. Another has the home win at 1.20, the draw at 2.88 and the away win at 8.50.

Prediction: Dagenham & Redbridge to win. Based on the stats, home advantage and odds, the most likely match outcome is a home victory. Waltham Abbey’s best recent result was a 2-0 FA Trophy win at Fakenham Town, but that is not enough to shift the model away from the home favorite.

Betting tips: the home win is the strongest match outcome, but the odds are short. The draw is the second-most probable outcome at 26%, according to the probabilities.