Hegelmann Litauen B - Dainava Alytus prediction 18 September 2026

Hegelmann Litauen II vs Dainava Alytus prediction for the 1 Lyga match on Sep 18, 2026. Our analysis gives Dainava Alytus a 55% chance of winning, while Hegelmann Litauen II has a 20% probability and the draw stands at 25%. Read on for detailed betting tips, odds, and head-to-head stats.

Team Form

Hegelmann Litauen II's last five matches (L, W, L, W, L) show a pattern of alternating results. They have been strong at home recently, beating FA Siauliai B 5-1 and Ekranas Panevezio 3-2, but struggled on the road with heavy defeats. Dainava Alytus is winless in five (L, D, L, L, D), including a 3-0 home loss to league leaders Minija Kretinga and a 0-0 draw at Lietava Jonava. Their attack has managed just 3 goals in those five games.

• Hegelmann Litauen II recent matches:
  Sep 11: FK Transinvest B 4-1 Hegelmann Litauen II (L)
  Sep 04: Hegelmann Litauen II 5-1 FA Siauliai B (W)
  Aug 29: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen II (L)
  Aug 21: Hegelmann Litauen II 3-2 Ekranas Panevezio (W)
  Aug 14: Be1 NFA Kaunas 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen II (L)
• Dainava Alytus recent matches:
  Sep 12: Dainava Alytus 0-3 Minija Kretinga (L)
  Sep 04: Lietava Jonava 0-0 Dainava Alytus (D)
  Sep 01: Minija Kretinga 3-2 Dainava Alytus (Cup, L)
  Aug 28: Dainava Alytus 0-1 Vilnius Zalgiris B (L)
  Aug 22: Dainava Alytus 1-1 Atmosfera Mazeikiai (D)

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on May 15, 2026, in the 1 Lyga. Dainava Alytus won that match 3-2 at home. The head-to-head record stands at 1 win for Dainava, 0 for Hegelmann Litauen II, and 0 draws.

League Table Positions

Dainava Alytus is 8th in the 1 Lyga with 37 points (10W 7D 6L, goals 33:23). Hegelmann Litauen II is 12th with 22 points (7W 1D 16L, goals 30:55). Dainava has a solid home record (3rd best in the league) but their away form is weaker: 2 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses in 9 trips. Hegelmann's home form is inconsistent, but they have scored 5 and 3 goals in two of their last three home matches.

Win Probability: Hegelmann Litauen II or Dainava Alytus?

We start with the bookmakers' implied probabilities from the 1X2 odds: home win 16.3%, draw 21.1%, away win 62.6% (after removing the margin). Adjusting for recent form—Dainava's five-game winless run and Hegelmann's two home wins—we lower Dainava's chance to 55%. The draw probability rises to 25%, and Hegelmann's win chance increases to 20%. Therefore, Dainava Alytus is still the most likely winner, but the match is closer than the odds suggest.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest odds are: Hegelmann Litauen II 5.50, Draw 4.25, Dainava Alytus 1.43. Bookmakers see Dainava as the clear favorite. Our match prediction: Dainava Alytus to win, but with low confidence. A draw is a real possibility, and betting tips might consider the draw or a home double chance. The total goals could be over 2.5, given Hegelmann's recent high-scoring home games and Dainava's defensive lapses. This Hegelmann Litauen II vs Dainava Alytus prediction is based on the latest stats and odds.