Defensa y Justicia Reserves - Quilmes Reserves prediction 6 October 2026

The Defensa y Justicia Reserves vs Quilmes Reserves prediction for October 6, 2026, in the Liga Profesional Reserves sees the home side as slight favorites with a 45% win probability. The match kicks off at 19:00 local time, and based on recent form and head-to-head stats, a tight contest is expected.

Team Form

Defensa y Justicia Reserves have shown mixed results in their last five matches, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat away to Estudiantes La Plata Reserves on September 29. Prior to that, they secured a 2-1 home victory over CA Tigre Reserves and a 4-0 thrashing of Independiente Rivadavia Reserves, but also lost 3-2 to Central Cordoba Santiago Reserves and drew 1-1 with San Martin de San Juan Reserves.

Quilmes Reserves also have two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Reserve on September 30, after a 1-0 away win at CA Aldosivi Reserve. Their other results include a 2-1 home win over Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves, a 1-0 loss at CA Huracan Reserves, and a 1-0 defeat at Boca Juniors Reserves.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, on May 5, 2026, where Quilmes Reserves won 2-1 at home. That result gives the away side a psychological edge, but with such a limited sample, it’s hard to draw firm conclusions.

League Table Positions

The JSON does not provide league table positions or points, so we cannot compare their standings. However, both teams are competing in the Liga Profesional Reserves in Argentina, and their recent form suggests they are evenly matched.

Win Probability: Defensa y Justicia Reserves or Quilmes Reserves?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Defensa y Justicia Reserves win: 45%
• Draw: 27%
• Quilmes Reserves win: 28%

The home side holds a slight edge due to playing at home, but Quilmes Reserves’ previous victory in the only H2H clash and similar recent form keep this match finely balanced. Defensa y Justicia Reserves are the more likely winners, but the draw and away win are realistic outcomes.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. One set lists a home win at 2.62, a draw at 2.10, and an away win at 3.30, while another shows 2.05 for the home win, 3.25 for the draw, and 3.10 for the away win. The latter implies a 43.6% chance for a Defensa y Justicia Reserves victory, which aligns with our adjusted probability of 45%. Given the stats, the value might lie in backing the home side, but the draw odds at 3.25 also present an interesting option for cautious bettors.

Our prediction: Defensa y Justicia Reserves to win, but with low confidence. A draw is a strong possibility.