Degerfors IF - Hammarby IF prediction 20 September 2026

Hammarby IF vs Degerfors IF prediction for the Allsvenskan match on July 19, 2026, at 14:30. Based on our analysis of odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Hammarby IF has a 65% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Degerfors IF has a 10% chance. Bookmakers also see the home side as the clear favorite.

Team Form

Hammarby IF come into this match with a mixed recent record of three wins and two losses (W, W, W, L, L). They beat Kalmar FF 2-0 on Jul 12, won 2-1 at Elfsborg on Jul 05, and thrashed Hacken 4-1 in a friendly on Jun 24. However, they lost 3-2 at Hacken in the league on May 31 and fell 1-2 at home to AIK on May 24. The attack has been productive, scoring 10 goals in those five matches.

Degerfors IF are struggling with just one win in their last five (L, L, W, D, L). They lost 0-2 at Vasteras SK on Jul 12, 0-1 at home to Malmo FF on Jul 04, and 1-2 at Kalmar FF on May 23. A 3-2 friendly win at Lillestrom on Jun 26 and a 2-2 home draw with Brommapojkarna on May 31 were the only bright spots. Defensive issues are evident, conceding in four of those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

Hammarby IF have dominated this fixture historically, with 9 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses against Degerfors IF. The last five meetings ended in three Hammarby wins and two draws. The most recent clash on Nov 03, 2025, finished 1-1 in Degerfors. Before that, Hammarby won 1-0 at home on May 26, 2025, and 3-1 at home on Apr 02, 2023. A 5-1 home victory on Aug 22, 2022, highlights their superiority. Degerfors have never beaten Hammarby in this head-to-head series.

League Table Positions

Hammarby IF sit 2nd in the Allsvenskan with 23 points from 13 matches (7 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses), scoring 28 and conceding 14. Their home form is particularly strong: 2nd in the home table with 16 points from 7 games (5 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and a goal difference of 22:5. Degerfors IF are not in the top 12 of the league table, indicating a much lower position. Their away form is not listed among the top 8, suggesting they have struggled on the road.

Win Probability: Hammarby IF or Degerfors IF?

After normalizing the average bookmaker odds (home 1.44, draw 2.72, away 8.65) and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Hammarby IF win: 65%
• Draw: 25%
• Degerfors IF win: 10%

The odds imply a 59% chance for a home win, but Hammarby's dominant H2H (9-2-0), strong home record (5-1-1), and Degerfors' poor form (one win in five) push that probability higher. Degerfors' historical inability to beat Hammarby and their likely low league standing make an away win highly unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds for this match: home win around 1.25–1.60, draw 2.52–2.90, away win 7.00–12.50. The best available home odds are 1.60, while the away win reaches as high as 12.50. These prices reflect a strong consensus that Hammarby IF are the favorites. Based on the stats, our prediction is a home win for Hammarby IF, with a low-scoring match possible given Degerfors' recent attacking struggles.